Sunday, December 19, 2021

The Largest One Year Increases and Decreases in wRC+ For Seasons With 400+ PAs

From FanGraphs.

"Similar to OPS+, Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) measures how a player’s wRC compares with league average after controlling for park effects.  League average for position players is 100, and every point above 100 is a percentage point above league average. For example, a 125 wRC+ means a player created 25% more runs than a league average hitter would have in the same number of plate appearances. Similarly, every point below 100 is a percentage point below league average, so a 80 wRC+ means a player created 20% fewer runs than league average.

wRC+ is park and league-adjusted, allowing one to to compare players who played in different years, parks, and leagues." 

I called up all seasons with 400+ PAs since 1871

Rank

Name

Season

wRC+

Change

1

Babe Ruth

1926

216

83

2

Terry Pendleton

1991

141

81

3

Al Kaline

1955

156

80

4

George Burns

1918

153

79

5

Fred Dunlap

1884

214

78

6

Mookie Betts

2018

185

78

7

Cito Gaston

1970

144

76

8

Adrian Beltre

2004

161

75

9

Roy Campanella

1955

150

75

10

Jimmy Wynn

1972

148

74

11

Scott Brosius

1998

123

73

12

Carl Yastrzemski

1967

194

72

13

Orator Shaffer

1884

176

71

14

Ryan Zimmerman

2017

137

71

15

Clay Dalrymple

1962

120

70

16

Darin Erstad

2000

140

70

17

Cesar Cedeno

1972

163

69

18

Carl Furillo

1953

147

68

19

Pete Runnels

1958

136

68

20

Rico Petrocelli

1969

163

68

21

Aubrey Huff

2010

144

67

22

Willie Stargell

1971

186

67

23

Alex Rios

2012

126

66

24

Cleon Jones

1968

140

66

25

Don Hoak

1957

127

66

26

Kevin Mitchell

1989

185

66

27

Mark McGwire

1992

171

66

28

Sammy Sosa

1998

159

66

29

Stan Musial

1948

201

66

Ruth had his famous stomach ache in 1925, so he performed poorly (by his standards) that year. He returned to form in 1926 (his decline in 1925 from 1924 will be in the next table).

Pendleton in 1991 and Yaz in 1967 are from teams that surprised most people to come in first place. 

The Red Sox went from 72-90 (9th place) in 1966 to 92-70 and 1st place in 1967.

The Braves went from 65-97 (6th or last in the NL West) in 1990 to 94-68 and 1st place in 1991.

I did this analysis initially because I wondered where Lou Gehrig 1927 ranked. He jumped 58 in 1927 to 209. That is tied for the 61st biggest gain along with several other players. That still puts him in the top half of a percent.

Now the largest decreases.

Rank

Name

Season

wRC+

Change

13210

Fred Dunlap

1885

118

-96

13209

Victor Martinez

2015

77

-91

13208

Bryce Harper

2016

111

-86

13207

Mike Epstein

1973

82

-82

13206

Scott Brosius

1997

50

-81

13205

Rogers Hornsby

1926

128

-80

13204

Roy Campanella

1954

75

-79

13203

Babe Ruth

1925

133

-77

13201

Adam Dunn

2011

60

-76

13202

Dick Green

1970

45

-76

13199

Max Carey

1926

57

-75

13200

Sandy Alomar Jr.

1998

56

-75

13198

Chris Davis

2014

94

-74

13197

Jeff Burroughs

1979

87

-73

13195

John Mayberry

1976

94

-72

13196

Ross Youngs

1925

91

-72

13193

Adrian Beltre

2005

90

-71

13194

Reggie Jackson

1983

74

-71

13192

Don Buford

1972

82

-69

13188

Jimmy Wolf

1891

88

-68

13189

Juan Gonzalez

1994

96

-68

13190

Ken Singleton

1984

61

-68

13191

Sixto Lezcano

1980

97

-68

13186

Dick Allen

1975

96

-67

13187

Mark Teixeira

2016

76

-67

13181

Allen Craig

2014

68

-66

13182

Brook Jacoby

1988

78

-66

13183

Hoot Evers

1951

73

-66

13184

Jeff Keppinger

2013

62

-66

13185

Willie McGee

1986

85

-66

Ruth had the 8th largest decrease in 1925. Others who are in both tables in consecutive years are Beltre, Brosius, Campanella and Dunlap.

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