Pct = .5 + 1.3*OPSDIFF
That gives them about a .543 pct when it is actually .632. So they have won about 8 more games than expected (they are now 55-32).
Here is what their hitters are doing. Data from Baseball Reference.
Split | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
High Leverage | 0.298 | 0.357 | 0.505 | 0.862 |
Medium Leverage | 0.268 | 0.330 | 0.414 | 0.744 |
Low Leverage | 0.235 | 0.296 | 0.388 | 0.683 |
Now what the pitchers allow.
Split | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
High Leverage | 0.250 | 0.313 | 0.361 | 0.674 |
Medium Leverage | 0.241 | 0.298 | 0.407 | 0.705 |
Low Leverage | 0.246 | 0.306 | 0.426 | 0.731 |
Now the OPS differentials. So they play like the 1927 Yankees in High Leverage situations (the Yanks that year had an overall differential of .196).
Split | OPS | OPS | Diff |
High Leverage | 0.862 | 0.674 | 0.188 |
Medium Leverage | 0.744 | 0.705 | 0.039 |
Low Leverage | 0.683 | 0.731 | -0.048 |
No comments:
Post a Comment