Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Dodgers, Rays and OPS differentials (A Rays victory would be historic upset)

LA season OPS differential) .194 (.821 - .627) only 27 Yanks better

Rays season OPS differential) .057 (.753 - .696)

Dodgers have .137 edge in regular season OPS. Biggest upset in world series I could find is 1906 when Cubs had .132 edge but lost to White Sox

But it was only a 60 game season so maybe Dodgers are not that good and Rays are better than .057. But look at playoffs

LA for each playoff series
.166 (.637 - .471)
.269 (.815 - .546)
.103 (.850 - .747)

Rays for each playoff series
.215 (.769 - .544)
-.050 (.713 - .763)
-.076 (.675 - .751)

Weighted avg by number of playoff games LA = .155, TB = -.025

Yes, negative for the Rays
 

 

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