Will Trout join elite group by leading league in OPS+ for the 5th year in a row?

Trout came into today with a 188 OPS+. Nelson Cruz was 2nd with 154 and George Springer was 3rd with 151.

Since 1900, the only players to lead their league at least 5 straight years were Ty Cobb, Rogers Hornsby, Babe Ruth, Mickey Mantle, Mike Schmidt and Barry Bonds. Ted Williams led the AL 1941-42, missed 3 years in WWII, then led from 1946-49.

In the Angel's remaining games, the average ERA+ of the teams they will face is 106.75 (that actually includes their games yesterday and today against the Orioles-I also used ERA+ thru Friday).  So my guess is that the average ERA+ of the teams he has faced so far is below 100, but I did not calculate that.

I looked at how Trout has done in his career against teams that had at least a 106 ERA+ over the years 2012-2019. His OPS against those teams (there are 8 of them) is .932. But his career OPS is .999. That means that his OPS against everyone else was above 1.000, probably around 1.020.

So let's say that Trout will be 100 points less than his current 1.102 the rest of the way. So I estimate that he will finish with an OPS of 1.070.

Cruz is also 2nd in OPS with .980. If is going to beat 1.070, he would need to have an OPS of about 1.260 the rest of the way.

Of course, there would be adjustments for park effects. But it looks like Trout will join that elite group if he stays healthy.