The idea here is to combine different skills and then divide by something negative which also measures some skills.
By multiplying TB*SB*BB balance is rewarded. For example, if a guy steals 30 bases and hits 30 HRs, he gets a score of 900 (30*30). If a guy hits 50 HRs and steals 11 bases, he gets a score of 550. That is less than the 30/30. But if we added things, the latter guy would come out on top. But the 30/30 guy is more balanced.
I wanted to use "offsetting skills." Power hitters are usually good at getting total bases while fast guys are usually good at stealing bases. Power and speed don't necessarily go together.
Getting walks is another separate skill. You need a good eye and patience. Now power hitters tend to get more walks so this is not perfect. But power hitters strike out more, too and the formula divides by that (well, SO + CS).
So if you swing for the fences, you hit more HRs, raising your score. But you also are more likely to strike out, lowering your score. Something similar happens with stolen bases. When those go up, your score rises. But you are going to get caught stealing more, so your score falls. Of course, if you are fast, you can turn more singles into doubles and more doubles into triples, upping your TBs.
The ability to make contact is also rewarded since strikeouts are part of the penalty.
So the skills I am trying measure are:
-The ability to make contact
-The ability to get hits
-The ability to hit for power
-Speed (but that alone is not enough to steal bases)
-Being able to read pitchers
-Getting a good jump when attempting to steal
-The ability to get walks (a good eye and patience)
At this point I have not yet tried to adjust anything for park effects or the league average. I looked at every player who had 5000+ PAs since from 1951-2012. I start in 1951 because that is the first year both leagues continuously recorded caught stealing. The final score was divided by 1000. Otherwise, things would be in the millions.
So who would come out on top of this list? It is someone very well known who alot of people think should be in the Hall of Fame. His vote percentage has been growing in recent years. The number two guy might be a surprise.
Notice how big a lead Raines has over the number two guy, Nellie Fox.
Rank
|
Player
|
PA
|
CS
|
SB
|
SO
|
TB
|
BB
|
Score
|
1
|
Tim Raines
|
10359
|
146
|
808
|
966
|
3771
|
1330
|
7,715
|
2
|
Nellie Fox
|
9531
|
75
|
69
|
190
|
3133
|
650
|
5,238
|
3
|
Tony Gwynn
|
10232
|
125
|
319
|
434
|
4259
|
790
|
4,341
|
4
|
Davey Lopes
|
7340
|
114
|
557
|
852
|
2468
|
833
|
3,428
|
5
|
Joe Morgan
|
11329
|
162
|
689
|
1015
|
3962
|
1865
|
2,607
|
6
|
Richie Ashburn
|
7808
|
92
|
179
|
479
|
2541
|
1017
|
2,316
|
7
|
Carl Yastrzemski
|
13991
|
116
|
168
|
1393
|
5539
|
1845
|
2,105
|
8
|
Roberto Alomar
|
10400
|
114
|
474
|
1140
|
4018
|
1032
|
2,013
|
9
|
Tom Herr
|
6111
|
64
|
188
|
584
|
1870
|
627
|
1,878
|
10
|
Jimmy Rollins
|
8236
|
83
|
403
|
952
|
3234
|
630
|
1,855
|
11
|
Stan Musial
|
7320
|
31
|
29
|
461
|
3415
|
947
|
1,823
|
12
|
Mike Hargrove
|
6693
|
37
|
24
|
550
|
2176
|
965
|
1,760
|
13
|
Willie Mays
|
12492
|
103
|
338
|
1526
|
6066
|
1463
|
1,752
|
14
|
Barry Larkin
|
9057
|
77
|
379
|
817
|
3527
|
939
|
1,726
|
15
|
Chuck Knoblauch
|
7385
|
117
|
407
|
730
|
2583
|
804
|
1,698
|
16
|
Craig Biggio
|
12503
|
124
|
414
|
1753
|
4711
|
1160
|
1,687
|
17
|
Kenny Lofton
|
9234
|
160
|
622
|
1016
|
3433
|
945
|
1,648
|
18
|
Todd Helton
|
9008
|
29
|
37
|
1088
|
4124
|
1295
|
1,594
|
19
|
Rod Carew
|
10550
|
187
|
353
|
1028
|
3998
|
1018
|
1,486
|
20
|
Eddie Yost
|
6733
|
48
|
54
|
701
|
1999
|
1249
|
1,482
|
21
|
Mike Schmidt
|
10062
|
92
|
174
|
1883
|
4404
|
1507
|
1,471
|
22
|
Eddie Mathews
|
10101
|
39
|
68
|
1487
|
4349
|
1444
|
1,447
|
23
|
Dan Driessen
|
6344
|
63
|
154
|
719
|
2251
|
761
|
1,433
|
24
|
Barry Bonds
|
12606
|
141
|
514
|
1539
|
5976
|
2558
|
1,417
|
25
|
Chipper Jones
|
10614
|
46
|
150
|
1409
|
4755
|
1512
|
1,412
|
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