Sunday, July 20, 2025

Players who hit a HR off multiple Hall of Famers in the same game

This was posted by BB Ref. The link itself then has links to the box scores of each game (I also supply the links below with the pitcher involved)


Dave Parker, Ruth, Mantle, Ted Williams, Billy Williams, Jackie Jensen, Rickey Henderson, Eduardo Perez, B.J. Surhoff.
 
Pitchers that appear twice on this list are Dennis Eckersley, Bob Feller and Bob Lemon. 
 
Eduardo Pérez in 2005 — the pitchers were Randy Johnson & Mariano Rivera. (The HR off of Rivera tied the game in the bottom of the 9th giving Rivera a blown save-All 3 of the Rays runs in the first 9 innings were driven in on the Perez HRs and they won 4-3 in 11 innings)
 
B.J. Surhoff in 1998 — the pitchers were Pedro Martínez & Dennis Eckersley. (Two days later Surhoff would hit the last HR that Eckersley would give up in his career-the last 2 were by Surhoff).
 
Rickey Henderson in 1987 — the pitchers were Phil Niekro & Steve Carlton. (The HR off of Carlton was a 2 out 2 run HR and it gave the Yankees a 1 run lead in the top of the 9th but they lost in the bottom of the inning).
 
 
Billy Williams in 1967 — the pitchers were Juan Marichal & Gaylord Perry. (The HR off of Perry tied the game in the bottom of the 9th)
 
Ted Williams in 1957 — the pitchers were Early Wynn & Bob Lemon. (Williams hit 3 HRs in this game, 2 off of Wynn)
 
 
Jackie Jensen in 1954 — the pitchers were Bob Feller & Hal Newhouser. (this was the last career HR allowed by Newhouser)
 

Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Today is the anniversary of the "Grich game" when he almost single handedly defeated the Yankees and Ron Guidry in 1979

Click here to go the box score and play by play at Baseball Reference.

Bobby Grich went 4 for 5 (all against Guidry). That included a HR and a 2B with 5 RBIs in a 5-4 come from behind win for the Angels. Grich had a win probability added (WPA) of 1.211, the 10th highest that we know of (and 3rd highest in 9 inning games). Guidry won the Cy Young award the year before while leading the league in ERA. He would lead the AL again in ERA in 1979. This was a home game for the Angels.

Here are Grich's ABs:

1st: Lineout with one out and none on trailing 2-0.

3rd: Single with runners on 1st and 2nd and one out to drive in a run to make the score 4-1.

5th: Single with a man on first and two outs. But next batter makes an out.

7th: Double with runners on 1st and 2nd and one out. Both runners score to make it 4-3.

9th: HR with man on 1st and two outs. Gives the Angels a 5-4 victory in front of 40,739 fans (also in 2 hours 19 minutes).

As mentioned earlier, Grich had a win probability added (WPA) of 1.211, the 10th highest that we know of (using the Baseball Reference Play Index-for games of at least 1.1, the earliest is 1925). Click here to see all those games. Art Shamsky had a game of 1.503 in 1966, which is the best. WPA uses historical data to estimate how much every change in the base-out-score situation changes a team's probability of winning. The later and closer the game, the more a hit increases WPA.

That famous "Sandberg game" when Ryne hit two clutch HRs off of Bruce Sutter is 42nd with 1.063. I have written about that game. It was impressive, but Sutter was no longer in is prime like Guidry was in 1979. Grich's game is far better. See my post from a few years ago Where Does "The Sandberg Game" Rank In WPA? I explain how hitting a HR off of Sutter was not especially hard at that point in his career.

Guidry as well rested coming into the game. He went 6 innings on July 10th, so he was not over worked. He did face 38 batters in this game, including 10 Ks and 2 BBs. So he could have easily thrown over 100 pitches.

He faced Grich for the 5th time that game in the 9th inning. Guidry's OPS allowed that year when facing batters for the 4th time or more in a game was .863. Pretty high. But the year before it was just .334 and the year after it was .627. So Guidry was not necessarily going to have problems in this situation. In 1977 it was .739

Here is what all AL pitchers allowed facing batters for the 4th time or more in a game in from 1977-80 with the league average OPS for all PAs after it in parentheses.

1977: .746 (.735)
1978: .719 (.711)
1979: .765 (.743)
1980: .766 (.731)

So batters did somewhat better facing a pitcher for the 4th time or more, but in the two previous years, not by much. Yes, Guidry faced Grich for the 5th time in the 9th. But he was the Cy Young award winner the previous year (with a 1.74 ERA). So it is not surprising a manager would stick with him.

Rich Gossage, one of the Yankees' best relievers, worked 3.2 innings the day before and another good righty reliever, Ron Davis had pitched 2.1. Davis also pitched on July 13th. Looking at the Yankee roster, those guys seem to have been the best possible options.

Grich was a righty and Guidry was a lefty. But Guidry did not get hit that hard by righties. Here are his HRs allowed divided by PAs for the years 1977-80:

1977: 9/606
1978: 11/757
1979: 17/776
1980: 12/729

So a manager would not have worried too much about Guidry having to face a righty.

Here is the OPS Guidry allowed vs. righties:

1977: .629
1978: .561
1979: .667
1980: .724

Here is the OPS Guidry allowed during innings 7-9:

1977: .677
1978: .428
1979: .755
1980: .659

Again, no big indicators that it would be a problem to leave Guidry in. Grich did hit 30 HRs that year but before that he had never hit 19. He did have 18 HRs in 358 PAs thru July 14, which is a pretty good total.

Here are his OPS vs. lefties:

1976: .794
1977: .807 (in only 50 PAs, he was hurt)
1978: .796
1979: .909 (but it was .900 vs. righties)
1980: .547

So it looks like there would have been no reason for a manager to especially fear Grich when facing a lefty. Good, but not devastating numbers.

Update 7-16-18: Grich had only faced Guidry 7 times before this game in his career and only once before that season. Grich was 2 for 7 with a single, a double and 3 strikeouts. Sandberg had faced Sutter 12 times including 4 times that season.

Update 7-17-25: It looks like only 2 guys ever had 4+ hits & 8+ TBs in a game vs. Guidry. I checked all such games vs. Yankees from 1975-88. The link below shows all of those games and these were the only 2 I found among them when a batter had had 4+ hits & 8+ TBs in a game vs. Guidry. 

Grich 7-15-1979 
George Bell 8-3-1983

For single games, from 1975 to 1988, Against NYY, in the regular season, requiring Hits >= 4 and Total Bases >= 8, sorted by descending Home Runs.

Update 7-17-25: Grich's teammates went 7 for 31 in the game against Guidry, just a .226 AVG with 1 2B and 2 BBs. So Grich had half of the Angels 16 TBs in the game. 

Saturday, July 5, 2025

Aaron Judge had a 1.259 OPS in a 200 game span from 4-26-24 to 6-13-25. Where does that rank since 2005?

First and it is .093 higher than anyone else's best 200 game span. I am starting with 2005 to be in the post Barry Bonds era (2004 was his last great season).

Here are the top 200 game spans since 2005 that I found using Stathead.

Judge 1.259   (4/26/24 to 6/13/25)
Pujols 1.166  (2008-9)
Yelich 1.134  (2018-20) 
Cabrera 1.127  (2012-13)
Judge 1.123   (4/20/22 to 8/2/23)
Trout 1.115  (2018-9)
Chipper Jones 1.104  (2006-8)
Jose Bautista 1.103  (2010-11)
Pujols 1.102  (2005-6) 


Many of these players have more than one span of 200 games with a 1.100+ OPS. They mostly overlap and the ones listed above are the highest for each guy, accept for Judge and Pujols who each have two completely separate 200 game spans. 

The cases listed above are the only ones since 2005 of 1.100 or higher. Pujols had an additional span of 1.108 during 2003-4.