Tuesday, February 10, 2026

If we combine both hitting and pitching, where does Babe Ruth's 1918 season rank in Championship Win Probability Added?

Here is how Baseball Reference defines it. 

"Championship Win Probability Added (cWPA): for Offensive Player Given average teams, this is the change in probability, displayed in percentage points. A change of +/- 100% would indicate one world series win added or lost."

To do well in this a player or pitcher most likely needs to be on a team that was in a close pennant race and perform well. 

The Red Sox won the pennant by just 2.5 games and Ruth performed very well in both hitting and pitching in the last 2 months (there will be details on this later to show how good Ruth was). As I will also show, adding Ruth's cWPA from both hitting and pitching will rank him very high all-time. 

All data used is from BB Ref and Stathead. 

Here are the top 10 batters in cWPA in the AL in 1918:

1

Ruth • BOS

19.70

2

Hooper • BOS

17.10

3

Bodie • NYY

5.60

4

Baker • NYY

4.90

5

Roth • CLE

4.90

6

Speaker • CLE

4.70

7

Mayer • BOS

3.90

8

Wood • CLE

3.60

9

Pipp • NYY

3.20

10

Collins • CHW

3.10

Notice the top two, by far, are from the champion Red Sox. Ruth actually had 19.67 as shown on the Single-Season Leaders & Records for Championship WPA (cWPA) for hitters.

Here are the top 10 pitchers in cWPA in the AL in 1918:

1

Jones • BOS

11.80

2

Johnson • WSH

10.20

3

Ruth • BOS

10.00

4

Coveleski • CLE

9.40

5

Bush • BOS

6.80

6

Mays • BOS

5.30

7

Bagby • CLE

4.50

8

Harper • WSH

4.40

9

Thormahlen • NYY

4.30

10

Morton • CLE

3.90

Ruth actually had 9.96 as shown on the Single-Season Leaders & Records for Championship WPA (cWPA) for Pitchers.

So Ruth has a total of 9.96 + 19.67 = 29.63. That is higher than all but 9 hitting seasons and all but 7 pitching seasons. So, overall, that would be the 17th highest season by any man whether a pitcher or hitter.

But since we are adding Ruth's hitting and pitching cWPAs together, let's add in the cWPA on offense for the pitchers. Most of them are negative. I looked at each pitcher in the top 30 of cWPA. Waite Hoyt is number 30 with 22.84. For him to reach 29.63, he would need 6.79. It is not likely a pitcher would have that much (see technical notes).

I re-calculated the cWPA of each of the top 30 pitchers by adding in their cWPAs as hitters. For most of them this meant lowering their total cWPA for the year since most of them had a negative cWPA as hitters. 

This table shows the top 15 all-time (since 1912-that is how far back BB Ref goes on this):

Rank

Player

Year

cWPA

Role

1

Carl Yastrzemski

1967

52.14

Pos. Player

2

Bobby Thomson

1951

50.19

Pos. Player

3

Willie Mays

1962

45.64

Pos. Player

4

Babe Ruth

1921

44.90

Pos. Player

5

Al Wickland

1915

38.87

Pos. Player

6

Claude Hendrix

1914

34.70

Pitcher

7

Tommy Davis

1962

34.57

Pos. Player

8

Vic Raschi

1949

34.14

Pitcher

9

Carl Hubbell

1933

32.48

Pitcher

10

Ellis Kinder

1949

31.50

Pitcher

11

Babe Ruth

1924

31.07

Pos. Player

12

Gene Bearden

1948

30.66

Pitcher

13

Jackie Robinson

1951

30.51

Pos. Player

14

Ken Keltner

1948

30.08

Pos. Player

15

Babe Ruth

1918

29.63

Both

So Ruth's 1918 season is 15th. Just on hitting it was 57th. On pitching alone it was 265th.

Now let's look at how Ruth did in the last 2 months of the 1918 season (they won the pennant by just 2.5 games). Here are all the Red Sox batters with 50+ PAs in each of the last two months of the season ranked by OPS:

Player

July OPS

July PA

 

Player

Aug. OPS

Aug. PA

Ruth

0.931

108

 

Ruth

0.782

98

Hooper

0.735

128

 

Strunk

0.729

117

McInnis

0.728

89

 

Shean

0.665

121

Strunk

0.629

104

 

Hooper

0.607

122

Shean

0.548

82

 

McInnis

0.586

112

Schang

0.472

60

 

Scott

0.404

105

Scott

0.421

106

 

Cochran

0.303

55

Stansbury

0.414

54

 

 

 

 

Ruth was clearly the best hitter on the Red Sox in each of the last two months of the season. The AL had a .644 OPS in July and .637 in Aug. The Red Sox only played 2  games in Sept. The season was only 126 games long due to World War I. They actually clinched on Aug. 31. So Ruth hit much better than the rest of the league down the stretch. 

Ruth was 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA in 24 IP in July (the league average was 2.81). In Aug. he was 6-2 with a 1.73 ERA in 73 IP (the league average was 2.74). Here is what Red Sox pitchers did in Aug.

Player

IP

W

L

ERA

Ruth

73

6

2

1.73

Mays

69

4

4

3.13

Bush

51

1

6

3.00

Jones

44

4

1

1.43

Kinney

11

0

0

2.45

Pertica

3

0

0

3.00

Although Sad Sam Jones beats Ruth in ERA Ruth had alot more IP. Ruth had a cWPA of 10.0 in Aug. and Jones had 2.1. So it is reasonable to say Ruth was the key pitcher for the Red Sox in Aug. 

Technical notes: 

I looked at all pitchers with at least an .800 OPS with 100+ PAs since 1912 (the year cWPA data starts). The highest cWPA year was 4.6 by Walter Johnson who had a 1.033 OPS in 1925. Then I looked at all the cWPA events of 2.0 or higher by pitchers thinking that maybe some one like that might have racked up a high season cWPA. But none of the 22 pitchers were as high as 4.6. So its unlikely that any pitcher ever had as high as 6.79 cWPA as a hitter.

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