The table below shows the projected OPS and PAs for players currently on the Sox roster for whom BB Ref has done projections. Collectively they are projected for 5,387 ABs and an OPS of .681. Last year the White Sox had a team OPS of .618 and 5,383 ABs. So a big jump in OPS is predicted.
|
Name |
Age |
2025 OPS |
2025 PA |
2024 OPS |
2024 PA |
|
Jacob Amaya |
26 |
0.643 |
237 |
0.413 |
72 |
|
Brooks Baldwin |
24 |
0.687 |
261 |
0.566 |
121 |
|
Andrew Benintendi |
30 |
0.696 |
522 |
0.685 |
522 |
|
Oscar Colás |
26 |
0.657 |
246 |
0.641 |
38 |
|
Dominic Fletcher |
27 |
0.642 |
329 |
0.508 |
241 |
|
Korey Lee |
26 |
0.614 |
405 |
0.591 |
394 |
|
Bryan Ramos |
23 |
0.706 |
253 |
0.586 |
108 |
|
Luis Robert Jr. |
27 |
0.755 |
470 |
0.657 |
425 |
|
Josh Rojas |
31 |
0.678 |
471 |
0.641 |
476 |
|
Austin Slater |
32 |
0.697 |
326 |
0.586 |
212 |
|
Mike Tauchman |
34 |
0.711 |
414 |
0.723 |
350 |
|
Michael A. Taylor |
34 |
0.657 |
389 |
0.543 |
300 |
|
Matt Thaiss |
30 |
0.662 |
323 |
0.622 |
186 |
|
Miguel Vargas |
25 |
0.639 |
349 |
0.506 |
237 |
|
Andrew Vaughn |
27 |
0.731 |
572 |
0.699 |
619 |
|
Lenyn Sosa |
25 |
0.654 |
402 |
0.642 |
369 |
Click here to see the projections for all players for 2025.
BB Ref projects a collective .731 OPS for all the non White Sox players this year. Last year the overall MLB OPS was .711. Take out the White Sox and it was .714.
So the Sox will do .063 better while everyone else will do .017 better. Maybe both are projected to do better since some weaker hitters might not be included in the projections. Whatever the case, the White are predicted to gain alot compared to everyone else. That seems too optimistic.
The projection "uses 3 years of MLB data, with the most recent data weighted heavier. It regresses towards the mean. And it has an age factor." (originally from Tom Tango).
Maybe the White Sox will regress to the mean more than other teams since they did so poorly last year. And maybe some of the younger guys will improve, since there is an age factor.
15 of the 16 guys on the Sox are projected to have a higher OPS this year than last year. One is by over .200, six others by over .100 and then there is a .098.
The OPS weighted by PAs for this group of 16 was .627 in 2024. It is .681 for 2025.
