Monday, June 7, 2021

How do teams do after two straight years of a .600+ winning percentage? (The Twins so far have the worst record in 100 years for these cases)

Here is how the table below works. If we look at the first team, the Atlanta Braves of 1992-93, the .596 listed for Season 3 is their winning percentage in 1994 (the season after two straight years of .600+).

Sometimes a team had three straight years with .600 or better. So that would be two actual cases. Then you can see the Season 3 pct. listed in the table for the first of those two cases.

There are seven cases in the table with a Season 3 record below .500 out of 105 occurrences. Those are all in red and bold. Teams are listed alphabetically. All data is from Stathead and Baseball Reference.

The Twins so far this year have the 3rd lowest winning percentage ever after having back to back .600+ seasons at .407. Of course, last year was only a 60 game season (and they have only played 59 games so far in 2021). They might not be in the mix if there had  been a normal 162 game season last year. But they are, in fact, the reason I did this study.

The lowest is the 1913-14 A's at .283 in 1915. That is because Connie Mack sold off his stars after they lost the 1914 World Series in four straight to the Boston Braves.

Next lowest is the 1919-20 White Sox at .403 in 1921. Many of their stars were banned as a result of the Black Sox scandal involving bribes to lose the 1919 World Series.

The next lowest is the 1934 Senators at .434. 

Year

Tm

Lg

W-L%

Season 3

1992

ATL

NL

0.605

 

1993

ATL

NL

0.642

0.596

1997

ATL

NL

0.623

 

1998

ATL

NL

0.654

0.636

1999

ATL

NL

0.636

0.586

2002

ATL

NL

0.631

 

2003

ATL

NL

0.623

0.593

1969

BAL

AL

0.673

 

1970

BAL

AL

0.667

0.639

1971

BAL

AL

0.639

0.519

1979

BAL

AL

0.642

 

1980

BAL

AL

0.617

0.562

1903

BOS

AL

0.659

 

1904

BOS

AL

0.617

0.513

1948

BOS

AL

0.619

 

1949

BOS

AL

0.623

0.610

1950

BOS

AL

0.610

0.565

1977

BOS

AL

0.602

 

1978

BOS

AL

0.607

0.569

1941

BRO

NL

0.649

 

1942

BRO

NL

0.675

0.529

1946

BRO

NL

0.615

 

1947

BRO

NL

0.610

0.545

1951

BRO

NL

0.618

 

1952

BRO

NL

0.627

0.682

1953

BRO

NL

0.682

0.597

1955

BRO

NL

0.641

 

1956

BRO

NL

0.604

0.545

1904

CHC

NL

0.608

 

1905

CHC

NL

0.601

0.763

1906

CHC

NL

0.763

0.704

1907

CHC

NL

0.704

0.643

1908

CHC

NL

0.643

0.680

1909

CHC

NL

0.680

0.675

1910

CHC

NL

0.675

0.597

1905

CHW

AL

0.605

 

1906

CHW

AL

0.616

0.576

1919

CHW

AL

0.629

 

1920

CHW

AL

0.623

0.403

1939

CIN

NL

0.630

 

1940

CIN

NL

0.654

0.571

1961

CIN

NL

0.604

 

1962

CIN

NL

0.605

0.531

1972

CIN

NL

0.617

 

1973

CIN

NL

0.611

0.605

1974

CIN

NL

0.605

0.667

1975

CIN

NL

0.667

0.630

1976

CIN

NL

0.630

0.543

1919

CLE

AL

0.604

 

1920

CLE

AL

0.636

0.610

1921

CLE

AL

0.610

0.506

1948

CLE

AL

0.626

 

1951

CLE

AL

0.604

 

1952

CLE

AL

0.604

0.597

1954

CLE

AL

0.721

 

1955

CLE

AL

0.604

0.571

1995

CLE

AL

0.694

 

1996

CLE

AL

0.615

0.534

1934

DET

AL

0.656

 

1935

DET

AL

0.616

0.539

2017

HOU

AL

0.623

 

2018

HOU

AL

0.636

0.660

2019

HOU

AL

0.660

0.483

1962

LAD

NL

0.618

 

1963

LAD

NL

0.611

0.494

2019

LAD

NL

0.654

 

2020

LAD

NL

0.717

0.576

2019

MIN

AL

0.623

 

2020

MIN

AL

0.600

0.407

1903

NYG

NL

0.604

 

1904

NYG

NL

0.693

0.686

1905

NYG

NL

0.686

0.632

1906

NYG

NL

0.632

0.536

1908

NYG

NL

0.636

 

1909

NYG

NL

0.601

0.591

1911

NYG

NL

0.647

 

1912

NYG

NL

0.682

0.664

1913

NYG

NL

0.664

0.545

1921

NYG

NL

0.614

 

1922

NYG

NL

0.604

0.621

1923

NYG

NL

0.621

0.608

1924

NYG

NL

0.608

0.566

1985

NYM

NL

0.605

 

1986

NYM

NL

0.667

0.568

1920

NYY

AL

0.617

 

1921

NYY

AL

0.641

 

1922

NYY

AL

0.610

0.645

1923

NYY

AL

0.645

0.586

1927

NYY

AL

0.714

 

1928

NYY

AL

0.656

0.571

1931

NYY

AL

0.614

 

1932

NYY

AL

0.695

0.607

1933

NYY

AL

0.607

0.610

1934

NYY

AL

0.610

0.597

1936

NYY

AL

0.667

 

1937

NYY

AL

0.662

0.651

1938

NYY

AL

0.651

0.702

1939

NYY

AL

0.702

0.571

1941

NYY

AL

0.656

 

1942

NYY

AL

0.669

0.636

1943

NYY

AL

0.636

0.539

1947

NYY

AL

0.630

 

1948

NYY

AL

0.610

0.630

1949

NYY

AL

0.630

0.636

1950

NYY

AL

0.636

0.636

1951

NYY

AL

0.636

0.617

1952

NYY

AL

0.617

0.656

1953

NYY

AL

0.656

0.669

1954

NYY

AL

0.669

0.623

1955

NYY

AL

0.623

0.630

1956

NYY

AL

0.630

0.636

1957

NYY

AL

0.636

0.597

1960

NYY

AL

0.630

 

1961

NYY

AL

0.673

0.593

1963

NYY

AL

0.646

 

1964

NYY

AL

0.611

0.475

1976

NYY

AL

0.610

 

1977

NYY

AL

0.617

0.613

1978

NYY

AL

0.613

0.556

1998

NYY

AL

0.704

 

1999

NYY

AL

0.605

0.540

2002

NYY

AL

0.640

 

2003

NYY

AL

0.623

0.623

2004

NYY

AL

0.623

0.586

2018

NYY

AL

0.617

 

2019

NYY

AL

0.636

0.550

1971

OAK

AL

0.627

 

1972

OAK

AL

0.600

0.580

1988

OAK

AL

0.642

 

1989

OAK

AL

0.611

0.636

1990

OAK

AL

0.636

0.519

2001

OAK

AL

0.630

 

2002

OAK

AL

0.636

0.593

1909

PHA

AL

0.621

 

1910

PHA

AL

0.680

0.669

1911

PHA

AL

0.669

0.592

1913

PHA

AL

0.627

 

1914

PHA

AL

0.651

0.283

1928

PHA

AL

0.641

 

1929

PHA

AL

0.693

0.662

1930

PHA

AL

0.662

0.704

1931

PHA

AL

0.704

0.610

1932

PHA

AL

0.610

0.523

1976

PHI

NL

0.623

 

1977

PHI

NL

0.623

0.556

1901

PIT

NL

0.647

 

1902

PIT

NL

0.741

0.650

1903

PIT

NL

0.650

0.569

1905

PIT

NL

0.627

 

1906

PIT

NL

0.608

0.591

1908

PIT

NL

0.636

 

1909

PIT

NL

0.724

0.562

1927

STL

NL

0.601

 

1928

STL

NL

0.617

0.513

1934

STL

NL

0.621

 

1935

STL

NL

0.623

0.565

1941

STL

NL

0.634

 

1942

STL

NL

0.688

0.682

1943

STL

NL

0.682

0.682

1944

STL

NL

0.682

0.617

1945

STL

NL

0.617

0.628

1946

STL

NL

0.628

0.578

2004

STL

NL

0.648

 

2005

STL

NL

0.617

0.516

1932

WSH

AL

0.604

 

1933

WSH

AL

0.651

0.434