Compiled using the Baseball Reference Play Index.
|Late & Close||153559||0.240||0.316||0.365||0.681|
Here is what I have for the years 1991-2000. The relative differences are not too much different than they used to be.
At the end of this post I provide link for the batting and pitching splits pages of each team.
Rangers have an OPS differential of -.008 (.739-.747). But somehow they won 88 games. It could be their bullpen that made the difference. They allowed an OPS of just .667 in Late & Close situations. That is .080 below their overall OPS allowed, a much bigger than normal differential.
The Blue Jays had OPS of .878 with men on. With None on it was .735. 4 times normal gap. With RISP, it was .839. Again, abnormally high when compared to the None On OPS. Their batters had just a .716 OPS in Late & Close situations. Overall, it was .797. So they were abnormally low in Late & Close situations. Maybe that partly explains their 15-28 record in 1-run games.
Their pitchers allowed an OPS of .769 with RISP while with None On it was .688. That is much bigger than normal.
The Royals had an OPS differential of just .024 (.734 - .710). Using my estimate of
Winning Pct = .5 +1.3*OPSDIFF
That gives them a .531 pct., lower than their actual pct. of .586. So how did they do so well? They had a .778 OPS with runners on and .701 with none one. With RISP it was .772. Their pitchers allowed an OPS of just .668 with RISP while it was .700 with none on. That is impressive given that teams usually hit better with RISP.
The Royals pitchers allowed an OPS in Late & Close situations of just .629, far below their overall OPS allowed of .710. That beats the normal differential by quite a bit.
I hope to post more tomorrow.