Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Is Adrian Beltre Bending The Aging Curve?

The graph below shows his OPS+ at each age starting at 19 continuing through this year at age 35. Then a table of the actual numbers. 5 of his best 6 seasons have come (if we include this year) at ages 31-35. Except for his age 25 season (in 2004) none of his seasons before age 30 are very close to any of his age 31-35 seasons




19 73
20 102
21 114
22 91
23 97
24 88
25 163
26 93
27 105
28 112
29 109
30 83
31 141
32 131
33 139
34 137
35 143
 
If we did pairs of seasons and average them (just a simple average), the last two are the best


19-20 87.5
21-22 102.5
23-24 92.5
25-26 128
27-28 108.5
29-30 96
31-32 136
33-34 138

Monday, July 21, 2014

Top 29 Seasons in FIP ERA Since 1920

From Baseball Reference

Rank
Player (age that year)
FIP ERA
Year
1
Pedro Martinez (27)
1.395
1999
2
Dwight Gooden (19)
1.685
1984
3
Clayton Kershaw (26)
1.739
2014
4
Bob Gibson+ (32)
1.774
1968
5
Sandy Koufax+ (27)
1.852
1963
6
Sandy Koufax+ (29)
1.927
1965
7
Tom Seaver+ (26)
1.931
1971
8
Hal Newhouser+ (25)
1.966
1946
9
Matt Harvey (24)
2.005
2013
10
Steve Carlton+ (27)
2.009
1972
11
Luis Tiant (27)
2.041
1968
12
Felix Hernandez (28)
2.052
2014
13
Bob Moose (20)
2.063
1968
14
Sandy Koufax+ (30)
2.071
1966
15
Sandy Koufax+ (28)
2.076
1964
16
Randy Johnson (31)
2.081
1995
17
Sam McDowell (22)
2.081
1965
18
Don Sutton+ (23)
2.082
1968
19
Bob Veale (29)
2.107
1965
20
Bill Gullickson (22)
2.111
1981
21
Dave Righetti (22)
2.116
1981
22
Dwight Gooden (20)
2.127
1985
23
Randy Johnson (37)
2.128
2001
24
Sandy Koufax+ (26)
2.15
1962
25
Mike Scott (31)
2.157
1986
26
Don Sutton+ (26)
2.157
1971
27
Bob Feller+ (27)
2.157
1946
28
Pedro Martinez (28)
2.171
2000
29
Roger Clemens (25)
2.174
1988