Cybermetrics

The sabermetric blog of Cyril "Cy" Morong, retired economics professor

Monday, May 31, 2010

Blue Jays On Record Power Pace

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They have hit 88 HRs in 52 games or about 1.69 per game. If they do that for the entire season, they will end up with 274 HRs, beating the r...
Sunday, May 30, 2010

Astros Record Low OPS Update

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On May 23 I reported that their OPS relative to the league average was just 81. Now their OPS is .605 while the league OPS is .731. The rati...
Wednesday, May 26, 2010

How Important Was Team OPS Differential In The 1920s?

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I took the data from Retrosheet. The regression equation was Pct = .5+ 1.37*OPPSDIFF where pct is team winning percentage. The r-sqaured was...
Sunday, May 23, 2010

Astros Record Low OPS Update

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Last week I reported that their OPS relative to the league average was just 81. If that is what they finished with, it would be the lowest e...
5 comments:
Thursday, May 20, 2010

1939 Yankees, Not 1927 Yankees Had The Biggest Run Differential Ever

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In discussing how well the Rays are doing this year with their +95 run differential, ESPN's Tim Kurkjian said that they probably will no...
Sunday, May 16, 2010

Astros Offense On Record Setting Low Pace

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They have a team OPS of .597 while the NL average is .735. So they have a rate of 81 (.597/.735 = .81, which is 81 when multiplied by 100). ...
5 comments:
Sunday, May 9, 2010

What You Don't Know About The 1927 Yankees

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Well, you may know some of this. And even if you don't, some of it won't be a surprise. But this was fun to put together. For one, t...
Friday, April 30, 2010

Explaining The Rays Fast Start

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They are 17-5 while they outscored their opponents 142-73.That works out to a pythagorean pct of .791 or 17.4 wins. So it seems like saberme...
Monday, April 26, 2010

Do Home Runs Cause More Hit Batters?

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Possibly. This issue came up in a NY Times article by STUART MILLER called Plunking Parallel: Steroid Use and Hit Batsmen (Hat Tip: JC Brad...
Saturday, April 24, 2010

How Much Does Team Consistency Matter?

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It seems to matter, but maybe much less than simply scoring and preventing runs. I looked at two periods, 1963-68 and 1996-2000. In each c...
Sunday, April 18, 2010

What Were The Best Relative Base Stealing Careers?

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This is based on what I did last week to look at the best seasons. It involves finding base stealings runs (using the linear weights values)...
Sunday, April 11, 2010

What Were The Best Relative Base Stealing Seasons?

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I took all players who had 20+ SBs in seasons when CS was also recorded from the Lee Sinins Complete Baseball Encyclopedia. These seasons we...
Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Scouts vs. Statheads: What Might Branch Rickey Say?

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Some sportswriters still like to make fun of the statheads or sabermetricians who never played the game and still live in their mom's ba...
5 comments:
Sunday, April 4, 2010

Which Players Had The Most Surprising Walk Rates? (Part 3)

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To read the second part go to Which Players Had The Most Surprising Walk Rates? (Part 2) . In Part 1, I looked at walk rates relative to the...
Thursday, April 1, 2010

Obama To Pitch For The White Sox

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April first 2010 will go down in history. Click White Sox Sign Obama For Left-handed Bullpen Support to read all about it.
Saturday, March 27, 2010

The Best 5-Year Hitting Performances By Age

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The table below shows the top offensive winning percentages (OWP) for each 5-year age period. The plate appearance (PA) minimum was 2000. Th...
Sunday, March 21, 2010

Ted Williams' Amazing Improvement In 1941

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I had a post about this a couple of weeks ago called Ted Williams 1941: May 16th, .333; June 6, .436 . This post will go into more detail. I...
2 comments:
Saturday, March 13, 2010

Is Pedro Feliz A "Good RBI Man?"

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Joe Posnanski had a blog entry called Pedro Feliz, Houston . It raises the question about whether or not Feliz is a good RBI man. It was in ...
Thursday, March 11, 2010

A Note On Willie Davis And Nomar Garciaparra

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Beyond The Boxscore has a good article on Davis called Willie Davis, underrated ballplayer (1940-2010) . He currently ranks 124th in WAR all...
Saturday, March 6, 2010

Ted Williams 1941: May 16th, .333; June 6, .436

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Yes, he raised his average 100 points in just 21 days. As you can imagine, it took alot of work to piece all this data together. But I didn...
Thursday, March 4, 2010

Bill Gilbert's Annual Arbitration Wrap-up

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Bill is the president of the Rogers Hornsby Chapter of SABR. He has been involved with actual arbitration cases in the past. His co-author t...
Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Canada Wins The Olympics! (based on the market value of the medals)

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According to a Bloomberg article: "First-place winners get gold-plated medals that are 92.5 percent silver. The second-place prizes are...
9 comments:
Monday, March 1, 2010

Does Consistency Help Teams Win More Games?

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This issue came up over at "The Book" blog. See Consistency is better than inconsistency? . Here is something I did several years ...
Sunday, February 28, 2010

Did Candlestick Park Cost Willie Mays 100 HRs?

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This is what Pete Hamill said in his review of the new book on Mays. See Willie Mays, the Say Hey Kid . Here is what I came up with on this....
Saturday, February 27, 2010

Should Chipper Jones Retire If He Has Another Disappointing Season?

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"The Atlanta Braves’ third baseman still says he will walk away from the game if he can’t bounce back from a disappointing 2009 season....
2 comments:
Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Was The US Hockey Gold Medal in 1980 A Miracle?

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This subject came up on the blogosphere today. See Was the 1980 Miracle on Ice team really that much of a Miracle? by Tangotiger. He links ...
9 comments:
Friday, February 19, 2010

How Good Has Tim Lincecum Been At Preventing HRs?

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It looks like he was very good in each of the past two years. I am not going to discuss the issue of what percent of his flyballs became HRs...
Monday, February 15, 2010

Tim Raines vs. Kenny Lofton

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There has been some discussion recently on whether or not Kenny Lofton should make the Hall of Fame. I am not going to try to figure that ou...
Saturday, February 13, 2010

Ken Williams, Not Willie Mays, Was The First Player To Have A 30/30 Season

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Most of you probably know that Ken Williams, in 1922, was the first player to hit 30+ HRs and steal 30+ bases in a season. A book review las...
Sunday, February 7, 2010

How Did Mark McGwire Age Compared To Previous Sluggers? (Part 3)

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Some people wondered about how McGwire compared to his contemporaries. Others wondered about how other players, who, like Big Mac, had injur...
Wednesday, February 3, 2010

How Did Mark McGwire Age Compared To Previous Sluggers? (Part 2)

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In Part 1, I compared his and all the previous players with 400+ HRs in how their SLG from age 31-37 compared to their SLG from when they we...
Sunday, January 31, 2010

How Did Mark McGwire Age Compared To Previous Sluggers?

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In some ways it looks like he aged significantly better, but I don't the evidence is completely conclusive. I took all the guys who had ...
12 comments:
Wednesday, January 27, 2010

How Might Integration Have Affected The Lefty Grove/Randy Johnson Debate?

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Introduction I wrote a post comparing these two along with Sandy Koufax a few days ago in response to a piece by Joe Sheehan. A commentor at...
5 comments:
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Cyril Morong
I am a retired economics professor. My email address is cyrilmorong@sbcglobal.net
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