Team OPS differentials for 2022

The numbers are in the table below. POPS is the OPS allowed by the team's pitching staff. The Dodgers hitters had a .775 OPS while their pitchers allowed .617. That gives them a .158 differential. Data from Baseball Reference and Stathead.

Last August I compiled the top 25 teams from 1901-2021. The 2022 Dodgers would tie for 4th place while the 2022 Astros would be tied for 15th. See Highest Team OPS Differentials, 1901-2021.

Team	OPS	POPS	W-L%	Diff
Los Angeles Dodgers	0.775	0.617	0.685	0.158
Houston Astros	0.743	0.613	0.654	0.130
New York Yankees	0.751	0.640	0.611	0.111
Atlanta Braves	0.761	0.651	0.623	0.110
New York Mets	0.744	0.676	0.623	0.068
Toronto Blue Jays	0.760	0.707	0.568	0.053
St. Louis Cardinals	0.745	0.696	0.574	0.049
Philadelphia Phillies	0.739	0.701	0.537	0.038
Cleveland Guardians	0.699	0.665	0.568	0.034
Milwaukee Brewers	0.724	0.691	0.531	0.033
San Diego Padres	0.700	0.679	0.549	0.021
Tampa Bay Rays	0.686	0.669	0.531	0.017
Seattle Mariners	0.704	0.688	0.556	0.016
Minnesota Twins	0.718	0.707	0.481	0.011
San Francisco Giants	0.705	0.702	0.500	0.003
Los Angeles Angels	0.687	0.685	0.451	0.002
Chicago White Sox	0.698	0.700	0.500	-0.002
Boston Red Sox	0.731	0.745	0.481	-0.014
Texas Rangers	0.696	0.722	0.420	-0.026
Baltimore Orioles	0.695	0.724	0.512	-0.029
Chicago Cubs	0.698	0.731	0.457	-0.033
Arizona Diamondbacks	0.689	0.729	0.457	-0.040
Miami Marlins	0.658	0.720	0.426	-0.062
Colorado Rockies	0.713	0.786	0.420	-0.073
Detroit Tigers	0.632	0.710	0.407	-0.078
Kansas City Royals	0.686	0.770	0.401	-0.084
Cincinnati Reds	0.676	0.766	0.383	-0.090
Pittsburgh Pirates	0.655	0.748	0.383	-0.093
Washington Nationals	0.688	0.791	0.340	-0.103
Oakland Athletics	0.626	0.750	0.370	-0.124

 

The graph below shows the relationship between team OPS differential and team W-L%.

The trend line shows that there was a very close relationship last year. The regression equation is

W-L% = 1.2151x + 0.4998 

The R² (R squared) = 0.9343, meaning 93.43% of the variation in team W-L% is explained by OPS differential. 

I was surprised by such a close relationship for just one year of data. Some regressions that I have done on this averaged team OPS differential and team W-L% over a five year period and had a lower R squared. See The Relationship Between OPS Differential And Winning Percentage Using 5 Year Averages.