Was This 2011 Prediction True: "Prince Fielder's numbers will surpass those of Albert Pujols?"

It was not my prediction. See Will Prince Fielder Surpass Albert Pujols? The prediction was made by someone on ESPN (I wasn't paying close enough attention at the time to know which one of three announcers said that).  So far this year, in 226 PAs, Fielder has an OPS+ of just 47 (BA-OBP-SLG are 0.193-0.261-0.292). Since 2007, only 4 guys who were 1B or OF or DH had an OPS+ under 47 with 200+ PAs. Maybe his injury from a few years ago (I think it was his neck), is hurting him somehow. But I don't see anyone saying that.

Here is an excerpt from that 2011 (4-20) post I did:

"On Monday night before the Brewers game, a commentator on ESPN said something like "now that Fielder is entering his prime years, his numbers will surpass those of Albert Pujols.""

One thing I showed was a comparison of OPS+ by age for the two players. In the table below, the red line represents the year 2011 for Fielder, which I did not list back then since it was so early in the season. Yes, he did surpass Pujols at that age (but just barely, 164-157). Notice how he has not come close, age-by-age, since then.

Age	Pujols OPS+	Fielder OPS+
21	157	97
22	151	110
23	187	157
24	172	130
25	168	166
26	178	137
27	157	164
28	190	151
29	189	122
30	173	102
31	148	124
32	138	47
33	116
34	126
35	117
36	111

The next table shows what they did in each year, starting in 2011. Fielder has hardly dominated Pujols since then, despite being 4 years younger. Fielder beats him 138-130, over the entire 5-year period. Maybe that is what the ESPN announcer meant.

Year	Pujols OPS+	Fielder OPS+
11	148	164
12	138	151
13	116	122
14	126	102
15	117	124
16	111	47