Harper leads the NL in WAR with 3.8 (Nationals have played 42 games).
His OPS+ is 229 (if he finished with that, it would be the 10th highest
since 1900 with only Ruth, Williams and Bonds ever doing better).
Harper's OPS+ so far in May is 314. I looked at all guys with 75+ PAs in a
month through age 23 (Harper is 22 this year) and only Williams, with
348 in Sept 1942 is ahead of Harper. If Harper can just do 100 over the last 8 games, I
estimate he would have 250 for the month and it would be the 19th best
month ever for a guy through age 23. Through age 22 it would be 10th
(this goes back to 1914, the first year you can do this at Baseball
Reference Play Index).
Trout's best month ever so far is 248 last June. Bill James projected Harper with an .842 OPS this year. He is currently at 1.225. Trout is .992/.959.
Back to using through age 23, here is the top 20. The third number is games played.
Ted Williams Sept/Oct 1942 20 348
Bryce Harper May 2015 19 314
John Mayberry June 1972 26 299
Ted Williams Sept/Oct 1941 23 297
Ted Williams July 1941 22 284
Ted Williams August 1941 35 279
Joe DiMaggio July 1937 29 277
Reggie Jackson June 1969 26 277
Ted Williams May 1942 28 268
Ted Williams Sept/Oct 1939 28 265
Dick Wakefield Sept/Oct 1944 29 264
Eddie Mathews Sept/Oct 1954 24 263
Boog Powell June 1964 21 259
Eddie Mathews June 1955 28 256
John Mayberry Sept/Oct 1972 31 252
Rudy York August 1937 30 251
Alex Rodriguez May 1999 16 251
Cesar Cedeno June 1972 28 251
Mike Trout June 2014 23 248
Jose Canseco Sept/Oct 1988 26 247
Here is the top 11 through age 22. It is not likely Haprer will fall out of the top 10
Bryce Harper May 2015 19 314
Ted Williams Sept/Oct 1941 23 297
Ted Williams July 1941 22 284
Ted Williams August 1941 35 279
Joe DiMaggio July 1937 29 277
Ted Williams Sept/Oct 1939 28 265
Eddie Mathews Sept/Oct 1954 24 263
Boog Powell June 1964 21 259
Cesar Cedeno June 1972 28 251
Mike Trout June 2014 23 248
Ted Williams June 1941 28 243
Saturday, May 23, 2015
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
Team OPS Differntials So Far
We are about a quarter of the way through the season. Interesting that Oakland is 8th yet has a .333 winning pct. My guess is that they have had bad luck, maybe not doing well with runners on base. Also interesting is how far ahead of everyone the Dodgers are and the Royals are easily in 2nd. The Dodgers, if they finished the season with .163, would trail only the 1927 Yankees since 1914. See The 25 Highest And Lowest Team OPS Differentials From 1914-2014.
| TEAM | OPS | OPSA | DIFF |
| LA Dodgers | 0.813 | 0.650 | 0.163 |
| Kansas City | 0.772 | 0.647 | 0.125 |
| St. Louis | 0.740 | 0.665 | 0.075 |
| Tampa Bay | 0.702 | 0.640 | 0.062 |
| Detroit | 0.767 | 0.708 | 0.059 |
| Houston | 0.722 | 0.670 | 0.052 |
| Washington | 0.752 | 0.702 | 0.050 |
| Oakland | 0.720 | 0.676 | 0.044 |
| Baltimore | 0.748 | 0.709 | 0.039 |
| NY Yankees | 0.726 | 0.687 | 0.039 |
| San Francisco | 0.727 | 0.693 | 0.034 |
| Chicago Cubs | 0.718 | 0.697 | 0.021 |
| Pittsburgh | 0.671 | 0.676 | -0.005 |
| NY Mets | 0.659 | 0.665 | -0.006 |
| LA Angels | 0.645 | 0.658 | -0.013 |
| Miami | 0.684 | 0.698 | -0.014 |
| Toronto | 0.756 | 0.770 | -0.014 |
| Cleveland | 0.721 | 0.736 | -0.015 |
| Seattle | 0.702 | 0.717 | -0.015 |
| Cincinnati | 0.705 | 0.725 | -0.020 |
| Arizona | 0.724 | 0.745 | -0.021 |
| Atlanta | 0.702 | 0.741 | -0.039 |
| Texas | 0.695 | 0.751 | -0.056 |
| Boston | 0.682 | 0.747 | -0.065 |
| Minnesota | 0.700 | 0.767 | -0.067 |
| Colorado | 0.724 | 0.793 | -0.069 |
| Chicago Sox | 0.671 | 0.748 | -0.077 |
| Philadelphia | 0.649 | 0.735 | -0.086 |
| San Diego | 0.697 | 0.787 | -0.090 |
| Milwaukee | 0.672 | 0.768 | -0.096 |
Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Players With 4,000+ Total Bases Who Are Not In The Hall Of Fame
Click here to see the career leaders at Baseball Reference. The list is below. Of the 86 guys with 4,000+ TBs, 53 are in the Hall. Some on the list below will make it. Some might never make it because of PEDs or in the case of Pete Rose, gambling. Torii Hunter (3929) and Miguel Cabrera (3911) should make it to 4,000 TBs this year. Aramis Ramirez (3838) has an outside chance.
14 of the 19 guys with 5,000+ TBs are in except for
Barry Bonds
Pete Rose
Alex Rodriguez
Rafael Palmeiro
Ken Griffey
Griffey should make it. So getting to 5,000 is pretty much a lock barring any scandal.
14 of the 19 guys with 5,000+ TBs are in except for
Barry Bonds
Pete Rose
Alex Rodriguez
Rafael Palmeiro
Ken Griffey
Griffey should make it. So getting to 5,000 is pretty much a lock barring any scandal.
| Rank | Player (yrs, age) | TB |
| 4 | Barry Bonds (22) | 5976 |
| 7 | Pete Rose (24) | 5752 |
| 9 | Alex Rodriguez (21, 39) | 5538 |
| 11 | Rafael Palmeiro (20) | 5388 |
| 13 | Ken Griffey (22) | 5271 |
| 21 | Derek Jeter (20) | 4921 |
| 27 | Manny Ramirez (19) | 4826 |
| 29 | Chipper Jones (19) | 4755 |
| 30 | Gary Sheffield (22) | 4737 |
| 32 | Albert Pujols (15, 35) | 4716 |
| 36 | Sammy Sosa (18) | 4704 |
| 38 | Jim Thome (22) | 4667 |
| 39 | Harold Baines (22) | 4604 |
| 46 | Vladimir Guerrero (16) | 4506 |
| 50 | Fred McGriff (19) | 4458 |
| 51 | Ivan Rodriguez (21) | 4451 |
| 52 | Adrian Beltre (18, 36) | 4433 |
| 53 | Dave Parker (19) | 4405 |
| 55 | Luis Gonzalez (19) | 4385 |
| 59 | Todd Helton (17) | 4292 |
| 62 | Vada Pinson (18) | 4264 |
| 65 | Jeff Kent (17) | 4246 |
| 67 | Dwight Evans (20) | 4230 |
| 69 | Johnny Damon (18) | 4214 |
| 70 | Jeff Bagwell (15) | 4213 |
| 72 | Rusty Staub (23) | 4185 |
| 73 | David Ortiz (19, 39) | 4184 |
| 74 | Steve Finley (19) | 4157 |
| 78 | Carlos Beltran (18, 38) | 4104 |
| 80 | Paul Konerko (18) | 4083 |
| Al Oliver (18) | 4083 | |
| 84 | Andres Galarraga (19) | 4038 |
| 85 | Bobby Abreu (18) | 4026 |
Sunday, May 10, 2015
Mike Trout's Amazing RBI-To-GDP Ratio
Through May 9, Trout had 326 career RBIs and just 24 GDP. That is a ratio of 13.58. Here are the top 10 right handed batters since 1946 with 5,000 career PAs:
So Trout is currently way ahead of even the best, Joe Carter. Here is the top ten through age 24 with 1,000 PAs:
Trout will not turn 24 until August, so this counts as his age 23 season. Now let's add in SB and CS
Just think of all the DPs Trout helped his team avoid by stealing. AND he does not kill rallies by getting caught very much, either. The only guy who matches him in stealing is Bobby Bonds but he got thrown out 7 more times. I wonder if there is some way to adjust the RBI/GDP ratio based on SB & CS. If so, Trout might be way ahead of everyone else.
I did create a stat once to judge leadoff men. It was how many times a guy got into scoring position (2B+3B+SB-assumes all SB are of 2nd base, not quite right) divided by how many outs he makes (not just batting outs but CS added in and GDP added in-just once for GDP since an out is already there). Call it SCP/Out.
This next table has the 20 through age 24 with 1,000 PAs in both RBI/GDP and SCP/Out. Players who made both lists are in red:
Five guys are on both lists. Trout is highest among them in RBI/GDP and only Samuel beats him in SCP/Out. Bobby Bonds is very close to Trout in both numbers. Hanley Ramirez was 21st in RBI/GDP ratio.
| Joe Carter | 10.95 |
| Greg Vaughn | 10.61 |
| Tim Salmon | 10.37 |
| Ron Gant | 10.29 |
| Mike Schmidt | 10.22 |
| Dan Uggla | 9.86 |
| Mark McGwire | 9.62 |
| Bobby Bonds | 9.57 |
| Alfonso Soriano | 9.42 |
| Gorman Thomas | 9.31 |
So Trout is currently way ahead of even the best, Joe Carter. Here is the top ten through age 24 with 1,000 PAs:
| Mike Schmidt | 14.25 |
| Cory Snyder | 13.73 |
| Mike Trout | 13.58 |
| Bobby Bonds | 13.53 |
| Ellis Burks | 12.47 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 12.44 |
| Dean Palmer | 11.44 |
| Dave Nicholson | 11.25 |
| Chris Young | 10.87 |
| Mark McGwire | 10.76 |
Trout will not turn 24 until August, so this counts as his age 23 season. Now let's add in SB and CS
| Player | RBI/GDP | SB | CS |
| Mike Schmidt | 14.25 | 31 | 14 |
| Cory Snyder | 13.73 | 7 | 4 |
| Mike Trout | 13.58 | 109 | 14 |
| Bobby Bonds | 13.53 | 109 | 21 |
| Ellis Burks | 12.47 | 73 | 20 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 12.44 | 78 | 25 |
| Dean Palmer | 11.44 | 21 | 16 |
| Dave Nicholson | 11.25 | 5 | 9 |
| Chris Young | 10.87 | 43 | 12 |
| Mark McGwire | 10.76 | 1 | 2 |
Just think of all the DPs Trout helped his team avoid by stealing. AND he does not kill rallies by getting caught very much, either. The only guy who matches him in stealing is Bobby Bonds but he got thrown out 7 more times. I wonder if there is some way to adjust the RBI/GDP ratio based on SB & CS. If so, Trout might be way ahead of everyone else.
I did create a stat once to judge leadoff men. It was how many times a guy got into scoring position (2B+3B+SB-assumes all SB are of 2nd base, not quite right) divided by how many outs he makes (not just batting outs but CS added in and GDP added in-just once for GDP since an out is already there). Call it SCP/Out.
This next table has the 20 through age 24 with 1,000 PAs in both RBI/GDP and SCP/Out. Players who made both lists are in red:
|
Player
|
RBI/GDP
|
|
Player
|
SCP/Outs
|
|
Mike Schmidt
|
14.25
|
|
Rickey Henderson
|
0.297
|
|
Cory Snyder
|
13.73
|
|
Hanley Ramirez
|
0.212
|
|
Mike Trout
|
13.58
|
|
Marquis Grissom
|
0.210
|
|
Bobby Bonds
|
13.53
|
|
Juan Samuel
|
0.210
|
|
Ellis Burks
|
12.47
|
|
Cesar Cedeno
|
0.200
|
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
12.44
|
|
Bert Campaneris
|
0.188
|
|
Dean Palmer
|
11.44
|
|
Mike Trout
|
0.178
|
|
Dave Nicholson
|
11.25
|
|
Jose Altuve
|
0.170
|
|
Chris Young
|
10.87
|
|
Bobby Bonds
|
0.169
|
|
Mark McGwire
|
10.76
|
|
Chad Curtis
|
0.169
|
|
Scott Rolen
|
10.61
|
|
Amos Otis
|
0.168
|
|
Mark Reynolds
|
10.60
|
|
Paul Molitor
|
0.166
|
|
Andre Dawson
|
10.26
|
|
Melvin Upton
|
0.163
|
|
Jose Cardenal
|
9.89
|
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
0.163
|
|
Pat Burrell
|
9.88
|
|
Rondell White
|
0.158
|
|
Juan Samuel
|
9.87
|
|
Ryne Sandberg
|
0.157
|
|
Josh Barfield
|
9.82
|
|
Ellis Burks
|
0.156
|
|
Pete Incaviglia
|
9.65
|
|
David Wright
|
0.154
|
|
Bill Melton
|
9.48
|
|
Matt Kemp
|
0.152
|
|
Alex Rodriguez
|
9.44
|
|
Jason Kendall
|
0.151
|
Five guys are on both lists. Trout is highest among them in RBI/GDP and only Samuel beats him in SCP/Out. Bobby Bonds is very close to Trout in both numbers. Hanley Ramirez was 21st in RBI/GDP ratio.