Cybermetrics

The sabermetric blog of Cyril "Cy" Morong, retired economics professor

Monday, December 31, 2012

Why Did The Yankees Finish 13.5 Games Behind The A's In 1931?

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The A's were 107-45 for a .704 pct while the Yankees were 94-59 for a .614 pct. The A's outscored their opponents 858-626 (good for ...
Thursday, December 20, 2012

1974: The Year The MVP Voting Went To Heck

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This is a family blog, so I have to say heck. After checking data at Baseball Reference, 1974 looks like the first year that none of the t...
6 comments:
Sunday, November 11, 2012

Verlander For The Cy Young Award?

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I don't think you have use too many advanced stats or new formulas to make a case. Steve Kornacki comes up with a new metric to support ...
Sunday, November 4, 2012

Did Darwin Barney And Brendan Ryan Go Into Fielding Slumps The Last Two Months Of The Season?

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As of August 1st, Barney had 3.3 defensive WAR (in 99 games) and Ryan had 3.2 (in 95 games). But Barney finished with a defensive WAR of 3.6...
3 comments:
Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Trout's 10.7 WAR Ties 20th Best Season Ever

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That is the Baseball Reference ranking. He is tied with Mays (1964) and Ted Williams (1946) Click here to see their rank for position play...
Saturday, October 20, 2012

How Surprising Was Zito's Performance?

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He has not pitched well on the road this year or well against righties while the Cards hit very well at home and very well against lefties (...
5 comments:
Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Giancarlo Stanton's Amazing Power Season

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He hit 37 HRs in just 123 games, finishing 2nd to Ryan Braun's 41. Stanton also set the all-time record for most HRs in a season by a Pa...
3 comments:
Sunday, October 7, 2012

Pujols Had Worst September Ever

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His AVG-OBP-SLG in Sept were .269-.315-.420. Those numbers are a bit of a surprise and a bit of a disappointment for the Angels given that h...
2 comments:
Thursday, October 4, 2012

Trout Vs. Cabrerra: A Conventional Approach

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Cabrerra beat Trout in AVG, .330-.326. If Trout had just 3 more hits, he bats .331. I think everyone agrees that Trout was a much better fie...
Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Trout Leads League In OPS+ And SBs And Runs

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Sort of a triple crown. I found only 5 other players since 1901 who led the league in OPS+ and SBs in the same season Cobb Wagner Hender...

Braun Is 2nd Player With 2 Straight Seasons Of 30+ HRs, 100+ RBIs, 30+SBs And A .300+ AVG

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Vladimir Guerrero was the first in 2001-2002. Barry Bonds had 3 such seasons and he is the only other guy to do it more than once.
Sunday, September 30, 2012

Trout Becomes Youngest Ever To Get 30+ HRs & 30+ SBs In A Season

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He just hit his 30th HR against the Rangers. Alex Rodriguez was previously the youngest at age 22 (actually a 40-40 season). Trout was 20 as...
Saturday, September 29, 2012

Torii Hunter May Make The Top 10 in WAR For The First Time At Age 36

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He is currently 6th in the AL in WAR. He has never finished in the top 10 before and he is 36 (or was as of June 30). Off the top of my head...
2 comments:

Chipper Jones Is In A League All By Himself

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He is the only player with a career AVG of at least .300, 1000+ XBH, 1500+ BBs, 150+ SBs and 1500+ RBIs (Barry Bonds just missed it with a ....
2 comments:
Friday, September 28, 2012

Through 1990, Who Were The Only 3 Players With 1000+ RBIs, 250+ HRs, 250+ SBs and 2500+ Hits?

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Answer tomorrow. It was fun for me to discover who they were. Two will seem obvious but the third one might not. I imagine alot of people wi...
6 comments:
Thursday, September 27, 2012

Who Was The Most Surprising Triple Crown Winner?

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This is similar to a couple of posts that I did last April. See Who Was The Least Likely Triple Crown Winner? and Baseball's Elite, Its...
1 comment:
Monday, September 17, 2012

Is DeWayne Wise?

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Maybe as wise as Fred Merkle. At least the White Sox won't lose a playoff spot or first place finish in this case. Check what happened i...
Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Chris Sale vs. Stephen Strasburg

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BR means Baseball Reference and FG means Fangraphs. I don't know why they are so different on WAR. I also don't know if FIP, xFIP...
Sunday, September 9, 2012

Trout's Season Now In Top 50 In WAR

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He is at 9.9, tying him for the 47th best season with Ernie Banks (1959) and Rogers Hornsby (1927). Trout bats leadoff and last year in the ...
14 comments:
Wednesday, September 5, 2012

One Possible Key To The Orioles

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They are now tied for 1st place with the Yankees yet they have a run differential of -19. Their record is 76-59 and 24-7 in 1-run games. Her...
Sunday, September 2, 2012

Chipper Jones In Rare Company With 1000+ Extra-base Hits, 1000+ Wallks And A .300+ AVG

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The list is below. Only 17 players have dones this and the numbers are only through 2011. Jones still has a .304 lifetime AVG. AROD is down ...
2 comments:

Tim Lincecum's Numbers Good Since The All-Star Break

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IP 60.2 H 56 BB 21 SO 58 HR 6 ERA 3.26
Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Mike Trout's Season Is Now In The Top 100 Of All-Time And It Looks Like It Is Now The Greatest Rookie Season Ever

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He now has a WAR of 9.1. Click here to see the leaders . Trout is tied for 94th. Actually 94th-103rd. He also is 2nd only to Babe Ruth's...
Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Who Was The Greatest "All-Around" Player Ever? Another Quantitative Attempt (Part 3)

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Part 2  is below with a link to part 1. I used four stats: one for fielding, one for speed (based on triples), one for hitting for average a...
Thursday, August 23, 2012

Who Was The Greatest "All-Around" Player Ever? Another Quantitative Attempt (Part 2)

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To see Part 1, go to Who Was The Greatest "All-Around" Player Ever? Another Quantitative Attempt . I used four stats: one for...
4 comments:
Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Major League Baseball Could See Its 500,000th Error This Season!

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According to Baseball Reference, since 1876, there have been 499,590 errors made. So only 410 to go. With 30 teams and about 40 games left f...
3 comments:

Does Mike Trout Already Have The 2nd Highest WAR Ever For A Rookie?

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I tried to compile a list of the best rookie seasons by WAR from Baseball Reference. See my earlier post from August 1, Does Mike Trout Alre...
Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Is Alexei Ramirez A Good Offensive Player?

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That is what the announcer said on ESPN's "Baseball Tonight" last night (it was not one of the ex-player analysts who said thi...
Monday, August 20, 2012

Is Mike Trout Only The 6th Player To Have 20+ HRs and 35+ SBs In His First 100 Games Of A Season?

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He has 24 HRs and 39 SBs in 99 games so far. I called up all the seasons with 20+ HRs and 35+ SBs using the Lee Sinins "Complete Baseba...
Thursday, August 16, 2012

Update On Mike Trout's Historic WAR Per Game

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10 games ago, I reported that Trout had a WAR per game of .0859 (he had 7.3 WAR in 85 games). He now has 8.1 WAR in 95 games or .0853 per ga...
Wednesday, August 15, 2012

How Much Will The Loss Of Cabrera Hurt The Giants?

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He has had about .043 WAR per game this year (assuming 4.5 PAs per game). So over the next 45 games, it would be 1.94. If Gregor Blanco take...
Thursday, August 9, 2012

Who Was The Greatest "All-Around" Player Ever? Another Quantitative Attempt

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Some players are said to have 5 tools: they can hit for average, hit for power, run the bases, catch the ball and throw it. It might seems s...
2 comments:
Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Chris Sale vs. Stephen Strasburg

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  BR means Baseball Reference and FG means Fangraphs. I don't know why they are so different on WAR. I also don't know if FIP...
Sunday, August 5, 2012

Mike Trout's WAR Per Game Is Historically One Of The Best (So Far)

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Through yesterday's game, he had 7.3 WAR in 85 games. I found all the seasons with 7.3 or more WAR from 1901-1912 at Baseball Reference....
3 comments:
Thursday, August 2, 2012

Are Darwin Barney And Brendan Ryan Having Historic Fielding Seasons?

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At Baseball Reference, Barney (Cubs) has 3.3 defensive WAR while Ryan (Mariners) has 3.2. With about a third of the season left, they are on...
Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Does Mike Trout Already Have One Of The Top Ten Rookie Seasons Ever?

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Using the Baseball Reference Play Index, I found the best seasons for anyone in their 1st, 2nd, 3rd, or 4th seasons. If a player had 130 or ...
Friday, July 20, 2012

Doubles As A Percent Of All Hits Over Time

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The graph below shows the numbers for the AL. Now the NL The trend has also been to a higher frequency of doubles. See The ...
Friday, July 13, 2012

Why Are The Red Sox Just a .500 Team If They Have a +47 Run Differential And An OPS Differential of +.039?

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They hit well with runners on base but their pitchers do very poorly with runners on base and both the hitters and pitchers do poorly when i...
Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Is "Pitching To Contact" Helping The Nationals?

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The Yahoo Sports baseball page has a feature article on this. It says "New alphabet: Fewer K's, more W's for Nats: Washington...
5 comments:
Friday, July 6, 2012

Team OPS Differentials So Far In 2012

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We are just about at the half way mark. The table below shows all teams. Their expected winning pct is from my equation .5 + 1.26*OPSDIFF ...
Wednesday, July 4, 2012

Career Leaders In Game Ending Homers

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This was posted to SABR-L on June 24 by David Vincent. Jim Thome 13 Babe Ruth 12 Jimmie Foxx 12 Stan...
Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Can Brett Lawrie Set A New Single Season Record For Defensive WAR?

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About half way through the season, he has a defensive WAR of 3.4. The current record is 5.4 by SS Terry Turner in 1906. The only other seaso...

Sale & Strasburg vs. Non-pitchers

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The table below shows some key percentages. For the percentages, I divided by PAs (with IBBs and SHs being taken out). I included HBP in wal...
Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Do Power Hitters Choke in the Clutch?

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It might only look that way. See Clutch, WPA/LI, and the Home Run Bias by Kincaid of 3-D Baseball and HR Bias in Clutch scores, based on Si...
Friday, June 15, 2012

Tom Ruane On "When Winning Streaks Collide"

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Fun stuff. Click here to go to it . The Yankees and Nationals both have 6 game streaks and they are about to play each other. Tom shows thi...
Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Could Bob Gibson Have Been Better In 1970 Than In 1968?

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To look at this I did a regression with ERA as the dependent variable and HRs, BBs, and SOs (all per 9 IP) as the independent variables. The...
2 comments:
Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Did Bobby Abreu Have Good Numbers In The Clutch?

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He was booed last night in Philadelphia. See Why Phils fans shouldn't boo Abreu by LESLIE GUDEL of csnphilly.com. One commenter said ...
2 comments:
Monday, June 4, 2012

That 23 Year Old Phenom Pitcher Whose Last Name Starts With S Leads His League In ERA

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Yes, Chris Sale of the White Sox leads the AL in ERA (with 2.30). Strasburg is 4th in the NL with 2.35. The table below has some statistical...
Monday, May 28, 2012

White Sox Score 52 Runs In Last 5 Games, A Major League High This Year

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And they won all five games, too. The next highest 5 game total this year is 48, by the Rangers. If anyone knows the all-time record, let me...
Friday, May 25, 2012

Pete Palmer Has A New Book

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Well,  maybe not real new since it came out last September. Tom Tango mentioned this at his blog. It is called Basic Ball: New Approaches fo...
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About Me

Cyril Morong
I am a retired economics professor. My email address is cyrilmorong@sbcglobal.net
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