Cybermetrics

The sabermetric blog of Cyril "Cy" Morong, retired economics professor

Friday, July 20, 2012

Doubles As A Percent Of All Hits Over Time

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The graph below shows the numbers for the AL. Now the NL The trend has also been to a higher frequency of doubles. See The ...
Friday, July 13, 2012

Why Are The Red Sox Just a .500 Team If They Have a +47 Run Differential And An OPS Differential of +.039?

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They hit well with runners on base but their pitchers do very poorly with runners on base and both the hitters and pitchers do poorly when i...
Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Is "Pitching To Contact" Helping The Nationals?

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The Yahoo Sports baseball page has a feature article on this. It says "New alphabet: Fewer K's, more W's for Nats: Washington...
5 comments:
Friday, July 6, 2012

Team OPS Differentials So Far In 2012

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We are just about at the half way mark. The table below shows all teams. Their expected winning pct is from my equation .5 + 1.26*OPSDIFF ...
Wednesday, July 4, 2012

Career Leaders In Game Ending Homers

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This was posted to SABR-L on June 24 by David Vincent. Jim Thome 13 Babe Ruth 12 Jimmie Foxx 12 Stan...
Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Can Brett Lawrie Set A New Single Season Record For Defensive WAR?

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About half way through the season, he has a defensive WAR of 3.4. The current record is 5.4 by SS Terry Turner in 1906. The only other seaso...

Sale & Strasburg vs. Non-pitchers

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The table below shows some key percentages. For the percentages, I divided by PAs (with IBBs and SHs being taken out). I included HBP in wal...
Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Do Power Hitters Choke in the Clutch?

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It might only look that way. See Clutch, WPA/LI, and the Home Run Bias by Kincaid of 3-D Baseball and HR Bias in Clutch scores, based on Si...
Friday, June 15, 2012

Tom Ruane On "When Winning Streaks Collide"

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Fun stuff. Click here to go to it . The Yankees and Nationals both have 6 game streaks and they are about to play each other. Tom shows thi...
Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Could Bob Gibson Have Been Better In 1970 Than In 1968?

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To look at this I did a regression with ERA as the dependent variable and HRs, BBs, and SOs (all per 9 IP) as the independent variables. The...
2 comments:
Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Did Bobby Abreu Have Good Numbers In The Clutch?

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He was booed last night in Philadelphia. See Why Phils fans shouldn't boo Abreu by LESLIE GUDEL of csnphilly.com. One commenter said ...
2 comments:
Monday, June 4, 2012

That 23 Year Old Phenom Pitcher Whose Last Name Starts With S Leads His League In ERA

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Yes, Chris Sale of the White Sox leads the AL in ERA (with 2.30). Strasburg is 4th in the NL with 2.35. The table below has some statistical...
Monday, May 28, 2012

White Sox Score 52 Runs In Last 5 Games, A Major League High This Year

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And they won all five games, too. The next highest 5 game total this year is 48, by the Rangers. If anyone knows the all-time record, let me...
Friday, May 25, 2012

Pete Palmer Has A New Book

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Well,  maybe not real new since it came out last September. Tom Tango mentioned this at his blog. It is called Basic Ball: New Approaches fo...
Thursday, May 24, 2012

Tim Lincecum vs. Albert Pujols

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Which number do you think is lower: Lincecum's ERA+ or Pujols' OPS+? Lincecum has 57 and Pujols has 68 (100 is average in each case ...
Wednesday, May 2, 2012

How Is That 23 Year Old Phenom Pitcher Doing? You Know, The One Whose Last Name Starts With S?

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Oh, you mean Chris Sale of the White Sox. Pretty well. His career stats are in the table below. Now his being a reliever in 2010-1...
3 comments:
Tuesday, May 1, 2012

Pujols Has His Worst Month Ever In OPS+, By Far

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The table below shows his OPS+ for every month of his career. 100 is average and it adjusts for the league average in each month and park ef...
Wednesday, April 25, 2012

How Long Can The White Sox Stay With Gordon Beckham?

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His AVG is .180, his OBP is .255 and his SLG is .240. He was not the starting 2B man today but he is in now as a pinch runner who just got t...
Monday, April 23, 2012

What If Ted Williams Came Back To Life?

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There is a new book out called Extra Innings by Bruce E. Spitzer. Here is the Amazon description: "In the year 2092, Ted Williams, ...
Saturday, April 21, 2012

It's Easy To Be Humber When You're Perfect

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Phil Humber of the White Sox just pitched a perfect game against the Mariners. Click here to go to the box score   Click here to read...
Thursday, April 19, 2012

How Well Might Pujols Perform After Age 35?

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I did something similar in December called How Well Might Pujols Hit After Age 35? It seemed like the odds were against him doing well afte...
Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Should The Angels Be Worried About Pujols?

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Tim Brown of Yahoo Sports has a column titled Angels, Pujols slump through April waiting game . Excerpt: "Eleven games into life as an ...
7 comments:
Monday, April 9, 2012

Who Was The Least Likely Triple Crown Winner?

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This is related to my most recent post from Friday I came up with a point system for this. A player would get 10 points for each time he led...
Friday, April 6, 2012

Baseball's Elite, Its Millionaires

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So what is a baseball "millionaire?" (warning to the hard core-this is probably an example of what Bill James called a "junk ...
Sunday, April 1, 2012

Finally! A Completely Scientific, Objective All-Time All-Star Team

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This took years of work and I incorporated the best analysis from all the top sabermetricians. This team will end all the debates and gives ...
Saturday, March 24, 2012

Power Hitting 2B Men Over Time

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This issue came up recently on the email list of the Hornsby chapter of SABR. Someone said that the power hitting 2B man was not necessarily...
Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Do Batters Learn During Their Career?

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This is a guest post by Tom Ruane. It is from some SABR list posts in 1999. I was reminded of them by a recent post at "The Book" ...
Friday, March 9, 2012

Does Consistent Play Help a Team Win?

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That is the title of a recent post at Fangraphs by Bill Petti. He looked at the volatility of runs scored per game and runs allowed per game...
Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Players With Three Or More Consecutive Seasons With 7+ WAR

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One idea I have about the Hall of Fame is that worthy players should have at least some significant peak value. Maybe something like 3 strai...
2 comments:
Monday, January 2, 2012

Who Had The Flukiest Seasons? (Part 2)

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Part 1 was actually Which Players Had The Most Uncharacteristically Good Seasons? What I did there was to find all the players who had 10+ ...
Friday, December 30, 2011

Who Had A Season With WAR ≥ 10 But Is Not In The Hall Of Fame?

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The table below shows all the position players who had at least one season of WAR 10 or higher (from Baseball Reference). Of all the players...
2 comments:
Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Why Didn't The Writers Vote Johnny Mize Into The Hall Of Fame?

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He got in, via the Veterans Committee, in 1981. So it might seem a little late and silly to complain about it. But he never he even got 50% ...
2 comments:
Friday, December 23, 2011

Don Mattingly’s Peak vs. Fred McGriff’s

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See HOF Story 2: The Holdovers by Joe Posnanski. (Hat Tip: The Book blog) POZ wrote: “Don Mattingly’s career was too short, but few would s...
3 comments:
Wednesday, December 21, 2011

How Well Might Pujols Hit After Age 35?

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The first thing I tried to do was create a set of comparables. So I found all the 1B men who had 4000+ PAs before the age of 32 since 1920 w...
Saturday, December 10, 2011

Batters Who Had 7+ Seasons With A 150 Or Higher OPS+

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The PA minimum was 400. Here is the list of those 38 players. I highlighted Elmer Flick because he is the answer (or maybe an answer) to a ...
Monday, December 5, 2011

Ron Santo Finally Makes It To The Hall of Fame, As He Should Have

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He got 15 votes from the 16 member "Golden Era" committee. I read a couple of stories about it but I did not see any statements fr...
Thursday, November 24, 2011

Teams That Won The Most Post-Season Games Over A Two-Year Period Yet Failed To Win The World Series In Either Year

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The Rangers won 18 post-season games over the last two years but did not win the World Series in either year. In fact, they won more post-se...
Saturday, November 12, 2011

Does Yahoo Sports Have Mistakes In Its Baseball Data?

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The table below shows the discrepancies between Yahoo and Baseball Reference It seem like SLGA is supposed to be slugging percentage allowed...
Monday, November 7, 2011

The Pirates were lucky to win the 1971 World Series, but how lucky?

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This came up on one of the SABR bulletin boards. Their OPS differential for the whole season was .073. That translates into a winning pct of...
Friday, November 4, 2011

Did The 2002 A's Of "Moneyball" Fame Win More Games Than Their Stats Might Predict?

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Maybe. I plugged their OPS differential into the following equation for winning percentage: Pct = .5 + 1.26*OPSDifferential The A's had ...
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About Me

Cyril Morong
I am a retired economics professor. My email address is cyrilmorong@sbcglobal.net
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