Cybermetrics

The sabermetric blog of Cyril "Cy" Morong, retired economics professor

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

How Long Can The White Sox Stay With Gordon Beckham?

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His AVG is .180, his OBP is .255 and his SLG is .240. He was not the starting 2B man today but he is in now as a pinch runner who just got t...
Monday, April 23, 2012

What If Ted Williams Came Back To Life?

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There is a new book out called Extra Innings by Bruce E. Spitzer. Here is the Amazon description: "In the year 2092, Ted Williams, ...
Saturday, April 21, 2012

It's Easy To Be Humber When You're Perfect

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Phil Humber of the White Sox just pitched a perfect game against the Mariners. Click here to go to the box score   Click here to read...
Thursday, April 19, 2012

How Well Might Pujols Perform After Age 35?

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I did something similar in December called How Well Might Pujols Hit After Age 35? It seemed like the odds were against him doing well afte...
Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Should The Angels Be Worried About Pujols?

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Tim Brown of Yahoo Sports has a column titled Angels, Pujols slump through April waiting game . Excerpt: "Eleven games into life as an ...
7 comments:
Monday, April 9, 2012

Who Was The Least Likely Triple Crown Winner?

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This is related to my most recent post from Friday I came up with a point system for this. A player would get 10 points for each time he led...
Friday, April 6, 2012

Baseball's Elite, Its Millionaires

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So what is a baseball "millionaire?" (warning to the hard core-this is probably an example of what Bill James called a "junk ...
Sunday, April 1, 2012

Finally! A Completely Scientific, Objective All-Time All-Star Team

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This took years of work and I incorporated the best analysis from all the top sabermetricians. This team will end all the debates and gives ...
Saturday, March 24, 2012

Power Hitting 2B Men Over Time

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This issue came up recently on the email list of the Hornsby chapter of SABR. Someone said that the power hitting 2B man was not necessarily...
Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Do Batters Learn During Their Career?

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This is a guest post by Tom Ruane. It is from some SABR list posts in 1999. I was reminded of them by a recent post at "The Book" ...
Friday, March 9, 2012

Does Consistent Play Help a Team Win?

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That is the title of a recent post at Fangraphs by Bill Petti. He looked at the volatility of runs scored per game and runs allowed per game...
Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Players With Three Or More Consecutive Seasons With 7+ WAR

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One idea I have about the Hall of Fame is that worthy players should have at least some significant peak value. Maybe something like 3 strai...
2 comments:
Monday, January 2, 2012

Who Had The Flukiest Seasons? (Part 2)

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Part 1 was actually Which Players Had The Most Uncharacteristically Good Seasons? What I did there was to find all the players who had 10+ ...
Friday, December 30, 2011

Who Had A Season With WAR ≥ 10 But Is Not In The Hall Of Fame?

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The table below shows all the position players who had at least one season of WAR 10 or higher (from Baseball Reference). Of all the players...
2 comments:
Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Why Didn't The Writers Vote Johnny Mize Into The Hall Of Fame?

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He got in, via the Veterans Committee, in 1981. So it might seem a little late and silly to complain about it. But he never he even got 50% ...
2 comments:
Friday, December 23, 2011

Don Mattingly’s Peak vs. Fred McGriff’s

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See HOF Story 2: The Holdovers by Joe Posnanski. (Hat Tip: The Book blog) POZ wrote: “Don Mattingly’s career was too short, but few would s...
3 comments:
Wednesday, December 21, 2011

How Well Might Pujols Hit After Age 35?

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The first thing I tried to do was create a set of comparables. So I found all the 1B men who had 4000+ PAs before the age of 32 since 1920 w...
Saturday, December 10, 2011

Batters Who Had 7+ Seasons With A 150 Or Higher OPS+

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The PA minimum was 400. Here is the list of those 38 players. I highlighted Elmer Flick because he is the answer (or maybe an answer) to a ...
Monday, December 5, 2011

Ron Santo Finally Makes It To The Hall of Fame, As He Should Have

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He got 15 votes from the 16 member "Golden Era" committee. I read a couple of stories about it but I did not see any statements fr...
Thursday, November 24, 2011

Teams That Won The Most Post-Season Games Over A Two-Year Period Yet Failed To Win The World Series In Either Year

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The Rangers won 18 post-season games over the last two years but did not win the World Series in either year. In fact, they won more post-se...
Saturday, November 12, 2011

Does Yahoo Sports Have Mistakes In Its Baseball Data?

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The table below shows the discrepancies between Yahoo and Baseball Reference It seem like SLGA is supposed to be slugging percentage allowed...
Monday, November 7, 2011

The Pirates were lucky to win the 1971 World Series, but how lucky?

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This came up on one of the SABR bulletin boards. Their OPS differential for the whole season was .073. That translates into a winning pct of...
Friday, November 4, 2011

Did The 2002 A's Of "Moneyball" Fame Win More Games Than Their Stats Might Predict?

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Maybe. I plugged their OPS differential into the following equation for winning percentage: Pct = .5 + 1.26*OPSDifferential The A's had ...
Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Has Starlin Castro done things offensively that guys who go on to be ten-time All-Stars and Hall of Famers did?

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New Cub GM Theo Epstein recently said of Castro: "Offensively, the things he has done is what guys who go on to be ten-time All-Stars a...
Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Teams Overdue For A World Series Appearance

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A team is overdue if the number of years since their last appearance is greater than the number of teams in their league. The table below li...
4 comments:
Wednesday, October 19, 2011

OPS Differential Gives Big Edge To Rangers

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The Rangers hitters had an OPS of .800 during the season and their pitchers allowed a .698 OPS. So that is a .102 differential. The comparab...
Sunday, October 16, 2011

Not The Year Of The Pitcher In The Playoffs

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In all playoff games, the AL teams averaged 4.87 runs per game. The AL runs per game this year was 4.46 during the regular season. The NL av...
Saturday, October 15, 2011

Carl Yastrzemski's GDP Rate In 1967? 3%

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That was by far the lowest of his career. So another reason why that season was so great. I did not see very much on this. See The Great For...
Friday, October 7, 2011

"Data guys" More Important In Business Due To "Moneyball"

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See When Data Guys Triumph by CADE MASSEY and BOB TEDESCHI, NY Times business section, 10-2-11. Oakland A's general manager Billy Beane...
Monday, October 3, 2011

OPS vs. 1.8*OBP + SLG

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And people say I shy away from the controversial topics. This analysis is at the team level. Let's start with runs scored. The following...
Saturday, October 1, 2011

Do Diamondbacks have stats to match Brewers stars?

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Click here to read the AP article by Chris Jenkins . He writes: "The Diamondbacks might not have the Brewers’ marquee names. But the nu...
Thursday, September 29, 2011

September Second Best Month For OPS

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Each league had its second highest monthly OPS. The numbers for each league are in the table below. The NL's scoring was not that great ...
Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Did Branch Rickey Subscribe To The Same S**t As Billy Beane And Bill James?

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I am reposting this entry from April 2010 since the Moneyball movie just came out. Some sportswriters still like to make fun of the stathead...
Monday, September 26, 2011

Has Mariano Rivera statistically separated himself from his peers?

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That is the issue raised by an article in yesterday's NY Times Mr. Young, Mr. Ryan, Mr. Rivera Will Be Joining You By DAVE ANDERSON. He...
Saturday, September 24, 2011

Bill James vs. Richard Feynman

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Cage match. Who would win? I think Bill James would have the size advantage, but I really don't know for sure. Anyway, Nobel prize winni...
2 comments:
Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Verlander And Kershaw Are Leading All Three Pitching Triple Crown Categories

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ERA 1. J. Verlander DET 2.29 2. J. Weaver LAA 2.41 3. J. Beckett BOS 2.50 Wins 1. J. Verlander DET 24 2. C. Sabathia NYY 19 3. J. Weaver LAA...
Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Best/Worst Month for a Team's Pitchers (and the 1969 Mets allowed only 3 HRs in September)

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Tom Ruane of Retrosheet looked into this after I asked him about it. Here is the link: Best/Worst Month for a Team's Pitchers Tom mentio...
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Cyril Morong
I am a retired economics professor. My email address is cyrilmorong@sbcglobal.net
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