tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post6293927821013549795..comments2014-07-31T05:14:40.608-07:00Comments on Cybermetrics: Is Prince Fielder Good At Hitting "Late" HRs?Cyril Moronghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post-15657847637400027762009-09-10T17:59:02.708-07:002009-09-10T17:59:02.708-07:00So if "about one quarter of the time, the hom...So if "about one quarter of the time, the home team does not bat in the ninth" then that means that they bat in the 9th 75% of the time. So the home team's game is 8.75 innings and the last 3 innings are really 2.75 innings. Then 2.75/8.75 = .314. That is still pretty close to 33%.<br /><br />Now that is only half the games, so for a given player, it would be half way between .314 and .333, since they play half their games on the road. Even closer (although some of the last of the 9th innings don't go a full 3 outs so then we get moved back to .314). Either way, 33% is not that bad an estimate.Cyril Moronghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post-37440331261769434892009-09-10T17:45:34.669-07:002009-09-10T17:45:34.669-07:00Perhaps you missed where I said "and of cours...Perhaps you missed where I said "and of course he may not always bat in the last of the 9th at home)"Cyril Moronghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post-84258348984522805912009-09-10T17:38:01.383-07:002009-09-10T17:38:01.383-07:00Innings 7-9 are not 33 percent of innings, since a...Innings 7-9 are not 33 percent of innings, since about one quarter of the time, the home team does not bat in the ninth.Jesus Rolleyeshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08734655988024492399noreply@blogger.com