tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post2992173754356134530..comments2024-01-26T13:08:26.506-08:00Comments on Cybermetrics: Did the cold springs in Milwaukee cost Hank Aaron a lot of home runs?Cyril Moronghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post-32480267220379805712014-05-08T11:03:41.633-07:002014-05-08T11:03:41.633-07:00From 1954-65, Aaron had 859 ABs in home games duri...From 1954-65, Aaron had 859 ABs in home games during April/May and 1034 in road games. So he had only 45.4% of his ABs at home.<br /><br />In the rest of the months, he had 2656 away and 2531 home. So then he had 48.8% of his ABs at home.<br /><br />So his home ABs were almost even after May 31. That should reduce the estimate since Aaron would not be quite getting as many home ABs in April/May as we would think<br /><br />And if, during 1954-65, we add 38 HRs to his home total, then he has 78 HRs in 859 ABs. That would be a HR% of 9.08%. That seems pretty high. <br /><br />I got him with 40 HRs at home in Aril/May from Baseball Reference's Play IndexCyril Moronghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-608528753722196209.post-92098665163868607562014-05-08T10:16:21.134-07:002014-05-08T10:16:21.134-07:00Thanks for checking, Cyril. Here's another wa...Thanks for checking, Cyril. Here's another way to look at it: during his years with Milwaukee's County Stadium as his home park (1954-65, 1975-76), from June 1 to the end of each season, Aaron hit 157 homers at home, 149 on the road, or 5.4% more at home. But in April-May, he had 38 homers at home, 76 on the road. If he had maintained his 1.054 home-road ratio for those months, he would have had 80 home HRs. So, he conceivably lost about 42 HR due to the cold Milwaukee springs.Bill Deanenoreply@blogger.com