Tuesday, August 8, 2017

Trout has a good chance to be first batter to finish with a 200 OPS+ or higher since Bonds did it in 2004 (and only 19th since 1901)

Trout currently has an OPS+ of 216. He has played 68 games and the Angels have 49 left. Assuming an equal number of PAs per game played for each group of games (which might not be quite right), if he has an OPS+ of 178 the rest of the way, he would finish at 200 (his career OPS+ is 173, so that seems reasonable that he could reach 178 the rest of the way, given what he has done so far).

Three guys reached 190 since 2004: Pujols with 192 in 2008, Miguel Cabrerra with 190 in 2013 and Harper with 198 in 2015.

His path might be easy. The Angels have only 3 games left against any of the top 4 teams in the AL in ERA+ (Bos, Clev, NY, KC).  That team is Clev. Here is the OPS+ of those teams

Bos 124
Clev 124
NY 122
KC 109

The next highest ERA+ the Angels will face is the 102 of Texas & Tampa Bay and Texas traded Darvish. The Angels have 15 games left against 3 of the 4 lowest ERA+ teams in the AL.

Bal 89 (5)
Oak 90 (6)
Chi 92 (4)

The Angels have 2 games left against one NL team, Wash. They have a 107 ERA+ and some good starters: Scherzer, Stasburg (if he is not on the DL) and Gonzalez.

Here are the players who have done it and the number of times. I used the Baseball Reference Play Index and set the minimum PAs as what qualifies for the batting title. If I lower that to 400 PAs (Trout might not make 502 PAs since he was hurt), McGwire and Williams would each get one more.


Player Count
Babe Ruth  11
Ted Williams  6
Barry Bonds  6
Rogers Hornsby  4
Ty Cobb  3
Lou Gehrig  3
Mickey Mantle  3
Jimmie Foxx  2
Frank Thomas  1
Jeff Bagwell  1
Norm Cash  1
George Brett  1
Stan Musial  1
Nap Lajoie  1
Willie McCovey  1
Sammy Sosa  1
Honus Wagner  1
Mark McGwire  1

Friday, August 4, 2017

Astros Had The 2nd Highest Team SLG For A Month In July Since 1913 At .568 (minimum of 20 games)

Data from the Baseball Reference Play Index.


Team Month Year G SLG SLG
NYY June 1930 28 0.593 0.592522
HOU July 2017 24 0.568 0.567816
STL April/March 2000 25 0.568 0.567599
BOS June 2003 26 0.556 0.556468
ATL July 2006 24 0.554 0.554007
SEA May 1999 27 0.549 0.549428
CLE July 1936 33 0.546 0.546252
TEX Sept/Oct 2011 25 0.544 0.543624
CLE April/March 1997 25 0.543 0.543430
SFG June 2000 26 0.539 0.539037

Now the OPS leaders


Team Split Year G OPS R BA OBP SLG
NYY June 1930 28 1.035 261 0.366 0.442 0.593
STL April/Mar 2000 25 0.959 180 0.301 0.392 0.568
HOU July 2017 24 0.948 174 0.323 0.38 0.568
BOS June 2003 26 0.945 190 0.315 0.388 0.556
CLE April/Mar 1997 25 0.942 167 0.305 0.399 0.543
CLE July 1936 33 0.94 244 0.352 0.394 0.546
SEA May 1999 27 0.935 191 0.308 0.386 0.549
SFG June 2000 26 0.932 175 0.309 0.393 0.539
STL July 1928 29 0.931 188 0.32 0.401 0.529
NYY May 1936 28 0.929 218 0.309 0.395 0.534

Here are the stats for the Yankees in June 1930. They were 20-8, allowing 160 runs. Ruth and Gehrig are the only teammates to have an SLG of at least .900 in the same month, 75+ PAs. First guy not named Ruth to do it is Chick Hafey in 1928 (July) at .925.


Player HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS PA AB
Babe Ruth 15 35 0.392 0.560 0.918 1.477 137 97
Lou Gehrig 10 42 0.495 0.582 0.919 1.501 137 111
Ben Chapman 2 18 0.346 0.421 0.514 0.936 123 107
Tony Lazzeri 3 34 0.352 0.424 0.562 0.986 121 105
Earle Combs 2 17 0.440 0.505 0.692 1.197 105 91
Harry Rice 1 18 0.366 0.398 0.505 0.903 101 93
Bill Dickey 1 23 0.439 0.483 0.610 1.093 92 82
Lyn Lary 0 9 0.185 0.264 0.277 0.541 76 65
Samuel Byrd 1 9 0.474 0.545 0.632 1.177 44 38
Jimmie Reese 1 6 0.238 0.238 0.333 0.571 44 42
Dusty Cooke 3 9 0.343 0.395 0.714 1.109 38 35
Yats Wuestling 0 1 0.231 0.231 0.308 0.538 27 26
Bubbles Hargrave 0 2 0.286 0.348 0.429 0.776 24 21
George Pipgras 0 4 0.158 0.238 0.263 0.501 22 19
Red Ruffing 0 2 0.474 0.500 0.579 1.079 20 19
Herb Pennock 0 4 0.467 0.529 0.467 0.996 18 15
Ed Wells 0 1 0.333 0.375 0.333 0.708 17 15
Billy Werber 0 2 0.286 0.412 0.286 0.697 17 14
Benny Bengough 0 1 0.308 0.357 0.538 0.896 15 13
Roy Sherid 0 2 0.167 0.286 0.167 0.452 15 12
Hank Johnson 1 6 0.385 0.429 0.923 1.352 14 13
Ownie Carroll 0 1 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.667 7 6