Saturday, April 19, 2014

Some Clutch Correlations

For all players with 5000+ PAs from 1987-2001. 71 players.




AVG
OBP
 SLG
 OPS
Total-CL
0.817
0.928
0.884
0.89
Total-RISP
0.842
0.928
0.932
0.93
CL-RISP
0.767
0.893
0.86
0.87
CL-NONCL
0.739
0.896
0.847
0.85
RISP-NONRISP
0.728
0.846
0.881
0.871
NONE ON-ROB
0.781
0.882
0.936
0.919
RISP2(W/2 OUTS)-TOTAL
0.609
0.829
0.774
0.783
RISP2-NONRISP2
0.535
0.786
0.728
0.736
RISP2-CL
0.599
0.826
0.747
0.762
ROB-TOTAL
0.931
0.971
0.98
0.977
MAY-NONMAY



0.903





Major
league
totals
1991-2000


AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
OBP/with NO IBB
Total
0.266
0.334
0.416
0.75
0.329
ROB
0.272
0.346
0.422
0.768
0.334
NONE ON
0.261
0.322
0.411
0.735
0.322
RISP
0.267
0.359
0.414
0.773
0.334
NONRISP
0.266
0.325
0.416
0.741
0.325
CL
0.256
0.334
0.388
0.722
0.317
NONCL
0.268
0.334
0.421
0.755
0.329
 
 The correlation between non-close & late (CL) AVG and the difference between it and actual CL AVG is -.076. So the better hitters see an even bigger dropoff than the lesser hitters, although the effect is slight. For SLG it was -.443. So the guys with higher SLGs normally see a big dropoff in CL cases. Maybe because they are facing good relievers or don't often have the platoon advantage.

The correlation between non-close & late (CL) AVG and the difference between nonCL SLG and actual CL SLG is -.078. The correlation between non-close & late (CL) SLG and the difference between nonCL AVG and actual CL AVG is -.309. So sluggers see a big drop in their AVG when it is CL.

 The correlation between non-runners on base (ROB) AVG and the difference between it and actual ROB AVG is -.229. For SLG it was -.053. Not a surprise since that this is low because the correlation between ROB SLG and non-ROB SLG is very high (.936).

The correlation between non ROB AVG and the difference between non ROB SLG and actual ROB SLG is -.154. The correlation between non ROB SLG and the difference between non ROB AVG and actual ROB AVG is -.134. So sluggers see a big drop in their AVG when it is CL.

 The correlation between non-runners in scoring position (RISP) AVG and the difference between it and actual RISPAVG is -.292. For SLG it was -.279.

The correlation between non RISP AVG and the difference between non RISP SLG and actual RISP SLG is -.284. The correlation between non RISP SLG and the difference between non RISP AVG and actual RISP AVG is -.158.


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